Après les banques centrales d'Isra‰l et de l'Australie, la Norges Bank a procédé à une augmentation de ses taux la semaine dernière. Elle est la première banque centrale européenne à relever ses taux d'intérêt. Son taux de dépôt a ainsi gagné 25 pb et s'établit désormais à 1,50 %. ® La hausse des prix des actifs et de l'amélioration du climat économique mondial semblent soutenir plus fortement que prévu la consommation et l'activité économique norvégiennes, ¯ expliquent les économistes du Crédit Agricole...

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Spring 2010 – A new tipping point of the global systemic crisis: When the slip knot around public deficits is going to strangle Western states and their social security systems
LEAP/E2020 believes that the global systemic crisis will experience a new tipping point from Spring 2010. Indeed, at that time, the public finances of the major Western countries are going to become unmanageable, as it will simultaneously become clear that new support measures for the economy are needed because of the failure of the various stimuli in 2009, and that the size of budget deficits preclude any significant new expenditures... (page 2)
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. Dubai: a clear example of what banks qualify as a « riskless asset » (page 4)
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. Greek debt crisis: A small problem for Frankfurt and a strong warning for Washington and London (page 5)
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The big Western dilemma in Spring 2010: Managing budget deficits versus new plans to boost the economy – Japan / Germany / France / United Kingdom / United States
Next Spring will be the defining moment on this issue for each country and, especially, the time when the first results will be available concerning either the success of these stimulus plans, or the relevance of deficit control policies: sovereign debt and currencies will suffer direct and brutal consequences… (page 8)
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Evaluation of GEAB’s 2009 anticipations: A 72% success rate
Before presenting its 2010 anticipations (which will appear in the GEAB January 2010 issue (N°41)) and within the framework of an ongoing evaluation of its analyses, LEAP/E2020 has prepared a balance sheet of its 2009 anticipations to establish their reliability… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Expatriates: Taxes and currencies-facing up to the two big uncertainties of 2010
. Commercial real estate (page 22)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
Europeans continue to be almost completely unanimous (95%) in thinking that the EU must start negotiations with China, Russia, Brazil, India and Japan in 2010 on the subject of a new international reference currency… (page 23)
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