Dollar on path for a crisis  14/11/2006

The currency market can be very frustrating for traders, because it doesn't always follow a clear fundamental logic. It can rise and fall in unison with bond yields, but also with bond prices; it can fall on a widening trade deficit, but it can also rise if that deficit is expected to lead to increased pressure on politicians to act.
It can also fall when the U.S. says, and when it doesn't say, it has a strong dollar policy.
The dollar is moving toward a crossroads. The U.S. Dollar Index, which tracks the buck against a handful of the world's major currencies, has been consolidating along an uptrend line that began in December 2004, but also along a downtrend that started in November 2005.

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GEAB N°65 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2012 -

Global systemic crisis / Second half of 2012 – Convergence of four explosive factors: Banks-Stock Exchanges-Pensions-Debts
Whilst waiting for Euroland to equip itself, by the end of 2012, with a medium to long term common political, economic and social project, especially following the election of the new French president François Hollande, anticipated many months ago by LEAP/E2020, players will remain prisoners of the short-term reflexes related to the sudden Greek political tremors, the uncertainties over Euroland governance and to the risks in public debts… (page 2)
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Which languages must your child learn to be useful to him in twenty years ? Anticipation of the principal intra-European and world common languages in a 2030 timframe
Beyond its cultural interest LEAP/E2020 has created this anticipation as a tool to aid decision-making, individual (parents for the education of their children) as much as collective (public education institutions, universities, states, international businesses). Individual and joint strategies as regards language teaching are long term processes needing fundamental choices to be made almost a generation in advance… (page 11)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies-Gold: Stay on course
. Pensions: Preserving one’s capital
. Stock Exchanges: Last exit before chaos
. Banks: Maximum distrust
. Government bonds: The trap is closing (page 21)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analysis
The majority of respondents believing that their country’s major banks could go bankrupt by the end of 2012 has risen to 66% this month (versus 61% last month)… (page 23)
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