The search to fix the EU's democratic deficit  20/02/2015

The EU's democratic deficit - that gap between 'Brussels' and the citizens it governs - is the enduring issue of recent years. It is the subject of numerous books, journals and academic studies. EU politicians are increasingly aware of it. But acknowledging it and knowing what how to fix it are two different things. Efforts to date have failed...


Orbán complains about Tusk over the EU's Russia policy  20/02/2015

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán stepped up his criticism on Wednesday (18 February) of his European allies for their policy of seeking to isolate Moscow over its intervention in Ukraine, naming top EU official Donald Tusk as one of its backers...


WTO rules against China in row with EU, Japan over steel pipes  20/02/2015

The WTO panel recalled that the EU and Japan had presented claims against the determination of China's ministry of commerce that dumped imports had hurt the domestic industry...


ECB minutes reveal differences over QE tool  20/02/2015

The European Central Bank revealed Thursday that there were divisions on its policy-setting governing council over the use of its new anti-deflation tool, but a "large majority" had voted for it as previous measures were insufficient...


Russia Dumps Most US Paper Ever As China Reduces Treasurys Holdings To January 2013 Levels  20/02/2015

Back in December, Socgen spread a rumor that Russia has begun selling its gold. Subsequent IMF data showed that not only was this not correct, Russia in fact added to its gold holdings. But there was one thing it was selling: some $22 billion in US Treasurys...


L'agriculture à la veille d'une nouvelle libéralisation  20/02/2015

Une des grandes questions est évidemment celle de la pertinence du modèle agricole français toujours largement fondé sur des exploitations familiales de dimension modeste par rapport à leurs voisines d'Europe du Nord. Bien que la France soit parvenue à se hisser aux plus hauts rangs dans ce secteur tout en préservant sa diversité, ses productions de terroir, ses appellations d'origine, sa multitude de vins et de fromages...

Les Echos

Guantánamo torturer led brutal Chicago regime of shackling and confession  19/02/2015

A Chicago detective who led one of the most shocking acts of torture ever conducted at Guantánamo Bay was responsible for implementing a disturbingly similar, years-long regime of brutality to elicit murder confessions from minority Americans...

The Guardian

Iran rejects two-stage nuclear deal by July deadline: spokesperson  19/02/2015

Iran does not consider a two-stage nuclear deal in the remaining time leading up to a deadline by July, Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman, Marzieh Afkham, said in her weekly press briefing on Wednesday...


Spotlight: Experts urge national dialogue, reforms to de-escalate Ukraine crisis  19/02/2015

One year after Ukraine's dramatic shift in power that triggered its worst crisis in two decades, local experts summed up the lessons learned from the turmoil and offered their suggestion for improving Ukraine's situation...


Janvier 2015, premier mois d'inflation négative en France  19/02/2015

La France est entrée en janvier en territoire d'inflation négative pour la première fois depuis fin 2009, rejoignant une tendance à l'oeuvre dans toute l'Europe, mais sans que l'on puisse parler déjà d'une franche déflation...


Turkey to go ahead with non-NATO-integrated missile defense  19/02/2015

Turkey’s new defense missile system, for which Ankara is in talks on a $3.4 billion deal with a Chinese company, will not be integrated with one used by NATO, Defense Minister İsmet Yılmaz has said..;


Libya, Egypt ask UN to lift arms embargo to fight IS group  19/02/2015

Libya and Egypt asked the United Nations Security Council on Wednesday to lift an arms embargo on Libya and help it build the army so it can tackle Islamic State and other extremist groups..;

El Ahram

ASEAN’s Transnational Crime Networks  19/02/2015

Regional connectivity projects being implemented ahead of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Economic Community scheduled for this year could have the adverse effect of making human trafficking and drug smuggling easier for transnational crime networks, anti-drug and human rights organizations have warned...

The Diplomat

Finland's social welfare and health care reform  19/02/2015

The Finnish Parliament will soon be asked to decide on a government-proposed bill seeking sweeping reform of its social and health care system...

YLE Uutiset

Peter Oborne resignation: Senior writer quits Telegraph dramatically over HSBC allegations  18/02/2015

A senior writer at the Daily Telegraph has dramatically quit the newspaper after accusing its owners, the Barclay Brothers, of suppressing reports about the HSBC scandal out of fear of losing advertising revenue...

The Independent

Putin seeks orderly retreat for encircled Ukrainian troops  18/02/2015

Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Tuesday pro-Moscow rebels should allow Ukranian government forces safe passage out of the encircled eastern town of Debaltseve but Kiev should not prevent its troops from giving up their weapons...


Russian researchers expose breakthrough in U.S. spying program  18/02/2015

The U.S. National Security Agency has figured out how to hide spying software deep within hard drives made by Western Digital, Seagate, Toshiba and other top manufacturers, giving the agency the means to eavesdrop on the majority of the world's computers, according to cyber researchers and former operatives...


India to create a federation of 50 solar power-rich nations: Piyush Goyal  18/02/2015

Taking a cue from Prime Minister Narendra Modi's vision, Union Minister Piyush Goyal today said efforts will work to create a federation of 50 solar power -rich nations and also make India the world's renewable energy capital...

Times of India

Commentary: Uncle Sam: anti-terror leader or terrorist breeder?  18/02/2015

On the world stage, the United States has assumed anti-terror leadership since the deadly Sept. 11 attack in 2001, yet underneath its glossy surface, Uncle Sam seemed to have a secret identity as a terrorist breeder...


Interview with Isaac Herzog: 'Israelis Are Fed Up with Politics of Fear'  18/02/2015

In an interview, Israeli prime minister candidate Isaac Herzog says the country's people are "fed up" with Benjamin Netanyahu's "politics of fear." If elected, he says he wants to "reignite" the peace process and is prepared to negotiate with the Palestinians...

Der Spiegel

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GEAB N°90 - Contents

- Published on December 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

. « Global systemic crisis: the end of the West we have known since 1945 »
. The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era
. The US in one hell of a state
. Europe post-Ukraine: lots of questions
. Three missions for the new Europe: resolve the Ukrainian crisis, put Euro-Russian relations back on the right path, avoid a European QE
. Middle East: traditional alliances’ big waltz
. Saudi Arabia, Iran: the allies change sides
. And Western « values » in all this
Read the public announcement

2015 – new phase of the crisis: the oil systemic crisis

. The impact of speculation
. Price War
. Systemic oil crisis and finance
. Systemic oil crisis and geopolitics

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Oil: beware!
. Energy intensive industries like airline companies
. Renewable energy: the good and the bad
. 2015: Euro & Yen rebound
. Gold: still safe

Evaluation of our anticipations for 2014
(from GEAB N° 81 in January 2014): a 69% success rate