LEAP/2020: Global systemic crisis September 2008 - Special announcement




LEAP/2020: Global systemic crisis September 2008 - Special announcement
As early as February 2006, the LEAP/E2020 team were the first one to send a worldwide alert on the imminence of a global systemic crisis. Since that time, month after month, they have been anticipating precisely the different stages of the unfolding crisis, as illustrated, for instance, by the September events. It was indeed in the February 2008 issue of the GEAB (N°22) that LEAP/E2020 was anticipating "Global Systemlc Crisis / September 2008 - Phase of collapse of US real economy: the end of the third quarter of 2008 will be marked by a new tipping point in the unfolding of the global systemic crisis...".

Each month in the past two years, LEAP/E2020 has not only been anticipating the future stages of the crisis, but also, through each edition of its Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB), it has provided in four languages some strategic and operational recommendations for the intention of individual savers, companies, public institutions, financiers and policy-makers from all the continents.

At a time when most experts, leaders and investors are reacting in a panic, faced to a situation they have not been able or wished to anticipate, LEAP/E2020 has elaborated, thanks to its series of monthly bulletins, a mine of analyses on the current crisis, its upcoming developments and the means to face it.

If, in February 2008, the LEAP/E2020 team were able to anticipate that the crisis would suddenly accelerate in September 2008 in the US (GEAB N°22), it has therefore been anticipating the future steps of the crisis for the coming six months in the 23rd, 24th, 25th, 26th and 27th editions of the GEAB. It is for this reason that with each new subscription we give access to the previous 6 issues, and therefore to precise anticipations and useful recommendations for up to the beginning of 2009 (and after). With, of course, new anticipations each coming months on the future developments of this historic crisis.

In times of crisis, the capacity to anticipate properly what the future is bringing us is no longer a luxury but a key-condition of survival, as cirtizens, savers, wage-earners, leaders, etc. The GEAB has thus been conceived since its beginning in 2006 as an efficient decision-support instrument, specially adapted to the global systemic crisis we are going through.

For your information, please find below the head-lines of each of the GEAB's past 6 issues:

. GEAB N°22: Global systemic crisis / September 2008 - Phase of collapse of US real economy
. GEAB N°23: Global systemic crisis – End of 2008: Pension funds go off the rails
. GEAB N°24: Global systemic crisis: Four big trends over the 2008-2013 period
. GEAB N°25: June/July 2008 – New tipping-point in the global systemic crisis: When the illusion that the crisis is under control fades away…
. GEAB N°26: LEAP/E2020 Summer 2008 Alert – July-December 2008: The world plunges into the heart of the global systemic crisis
. GEAB N°27: Why LEAP/E2020 maintain their anticipation of a 1.75 EURUSD exchange rate at the end of 2008

Mercredi 24 Septembre 2008

GEAB N°61 - Contents

- Published on January 16, 2012 -

Global systemic crisis - 2012: The year of the world’s great geopolitical swing
This GEAB issue makes it six years that the LEAP/ E2020 team have shared their anticipations with their subscribers and readers of their public briefing on the development of the global systemic crisis each month. And, for the first time, in the January issue which presents a summary of our anticipations for the year to come, our team anticipates a year which will not result solely in a worsening of the world crisis but which will also be characterized by the emergence of the first constructive elements of the “world after the crisis”… (page 2)
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USA 2012: on the way towards the tragedy of QE3
Today, US financial policy is confronted by the sovereign debt crisis of which it will be the ultimate victim in 2012. As LEAP/E2020 anticipated, the 2011 European debt detonator has truly ignited the 2012 American sovereign debt bomb, even if the media coverage desperately tries to make us believe the opposite. The massive sale of US Treasury Bills by the planet’s major central banks in the second half-year 2011 perfectly illustrates this situation incidentally… (page 7)
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ANTICIPATIONS 2012 - ‘20-UP AND 15-DOWN’, THIRTY FIVE KEY TRENDS FOR 2012
Up or Down? The United States' political paralysis; The City and Wall Street ; The rise in interest rates; The forfeiting of value to Wall Street and the City; The value of Chinese reserves; The Pound Sterling (and Gilts); Euroland as new European sovereign; The USA-China “little cold war”; Italy; The importance of the US Dollar in world trade transactions; Rating agencies; The “great European public borrowing” (GEPB); MerkHollMont; Ron Paul; The number, size and influence of Western banks; The continuation of gold’s return in the international monetary system; Recessflation; Sarkozy, Cameron, Netanyahu and Medvedev; The BRICS maturing as a pro-active world player; Turkey’s exit from the Western camp; The Tobin Eurotax; Secular and pro-Western forces in the Muslim world; Growth; The usefulness of the G20; Lawsuits against those managing banks and hedge funds; The splitting of the world monetary system into three zones: Dollar, Euro, Yuan; The widespread downgrade of Western public debt; Peoples' anger; The Euro crisis; The EU as the principal incarnation of Europe; QE3 as the ultimate weapon for saving the US economy; The US’ capacity for military intervention; The West as a community of relevance and values; Scottish independence; Le détroit d'Ormuz et un nouveau contexte de crise au Moyen-Orient ; L'indépendance de l'Ecosse; The Straits of Hormuz and a new context of the Middle East crisis (page 19) (page 19)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
We are seeing a strengthening in the majority considering that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (80% in January versus 77% in December)… (page 33)
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