GEAB wrote it in June 2008: "Arab world: Pro-Western regimes go adrift / 60 percent risk of socio-political explosion on Egypt-Morocco axis"


- Excerpt GEAB N°26 (June 16, 2008) -



GEAB wrote it in June 2008: "Arab world: Pro-Western regimes go adrift / 60 percent risk of socio-political explosion on Egypt-Morocco axis"
According to LEAP/E2020, the global systemic crisis contributes to weaken Arab states’ pro-Western regimes confronted to hunger riots, religious fundamentalism fuelled by the growing influence of Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas, and the incapacity of Washington and its European allies to answer by anything else than securitarian stances (1). Day after day Egypt loses in stability because of the political deadlock created by the end of Moubarak’s reign combined with the regime’s incapacity to address the economic and social expectations of a growing part of the population (2). According to our analysts, Egypt will be politically hit by the outcome of the plunge into the heart of the global systemic crisis (3). Social instability will be stronger than the securitarian nature of the regime.

According to our team, this country is the last wall against an implosion of Maghreb under the strain of the anti-American forces now dominating the whole Middle-East. If, like we believe, Egypt becomes very unstable by the beginning of 2009, Tunisia, Algeria and Morocco will soon be swept away. In any event, they will have to cope with growing domestic unrest for socio-economic reasons, at the very moment when their great European partner sees its economy slow down.

----------
Notes:

(1) The French president’s unrealistic project of Union for the Mediterranean will not change anything to the situation.

(2) Hunger riots have not finished shaking up the region. Indeed, on the global food issue, the situation is worsening. For instance, the US department of Agriculture is expecting a 10% drop in US corn production this year. Source: Bloomberg, 06/10/2008

(3) Even American aid, largely granted to the region, as a result of the US currency slump.

Lundi 31 Janvier 2011
LEAP/E2020
Lu 7188 fois


In the same category:
1 2 3 4 5 » ... 19

GEAB N°88 - Contents

- Published on October 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis–2015: The world is defecting to the East

. Middle East: US strategic impotence revealed
Read public announcement

. Europe, Brazil, Japan: Survival reflexes are pushing the world out of the US influence
Subscribe

. Europe, Russia - Setting up a Chinese-style Marshall plan
Subscribe

Euroland 2015 –The unbearable lightness of European taxation

. The challenge of financing public authorities
Subscribe

. Add a new floor to the fiscal structure, why not?
Subscribe

. Principles of a trans-European taxation system
Subscribe

. A question of democracy as well
Subscribe

. Europe, last floor before a worldwide system of collection
Subscribe

. The inadequacy of a taxation system with the nation-state at the apex
Subscribe

The world afterwards: towards a BRICS gold-backed multicurrency

. The remains of Bretton Woods
Subscribe

. The US and Europe out of the game
Subscribe

. Gold’s return
Subscribe

. The BRICS currency project
Subscribe

Investissements, tendances et recommendations

. Currencies: on the move again !
Subscribe

. Gold: return to reality
Subscribe

. Oil and the petrodollar: the risks are becoming clear
Subscribe

GLOBALEUROMETER

. Results and roundup remarks
Subscribe