GEAB is at the origin of the concept of 'global systemic crisis'




GEAB is at the origin of the concept of 'global systemic crisis'
As early as February 15th, the second issue of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB N°2 announced that an international political, economic and monetary crisis was to be triggered in the course of the last week of March 2006. The public announcement summing up this position toured the world, raising virulent criticisms of course, but above all warm thanks and vivid gratefulness for having opened a debate considered a healthy one.

GEAB 2 revealed in particular a major fact, unknown from big media and the majority of financial analysts: the US Fed’s decision to stop the publication of a macro-economic indicator, one essential to assess the dollar’s and global economy’s health, the M3 indicator. Leap/E2020 analysed this information as a decision to monetarize the US debt and to hide the triggering of a dollar-collapse process.

As predicted by Leap/E2020, and despite doubts expressed by many professionals and a resounding silence from the part of all big media, on March 23, 2006, the US Federal Reserve stopped M3 publication, the dollar started its descent and the crisis began to expand to various emerging monetary and financial markets (Arab Stock Exchange Markets, Iceland, New-Zealand, Hungary, Brazil…), bringing the dollar down by 4% in just a month, in a context of speculative currency attacks.

LEAP/E2020 took a great risk by making this prediction in February 2006, at a time when all public economic indicators were euphoric, and by making the choice to stick to its convictions against all mainstream opinions at that time. The now admitted correctness of the prediction acknowledges a unique capacity of global anticipation and trans-disciplinary analysis on the part of the team of Leap/E2020 researchers.

Each month, GEAB, in partnership with the Dutch foundation GEFIRA, provides you with Leap/E2020’s capacity of analysis and anticipation, with its European vision and unrivalled independence, in order to assist you in your dealing with a future becoming day after day more complex to predict.

To anticipate the crisis’ next steps in order to deal with the global systemic transition …

Since the beginning, GEAB has interpreted the current crisis as a global systemic crisis, i.e., one resulting from a change of system: the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 resulted in the end of the USA-USSR bi-polar world system, and initiated a transitory system of supremacy of the USA-pole over the world; In 2006, the dollar collapse is a fall of the "Washington Wall" and both the indicator and the central factor of the global systemix crisis.

Economy, strategy, finance, politics, … all fields are affected by this major systemic transition. GEAB intends to be among the instruments enabling you to make the right decisions based on a clear understanding of the international context, on the precise identification of future-bearer tracks, and on a reliable analysis of the means to enter these tracks.

This founding-prediction gives the tone to all GEAB publications, which provide financial, political, academic and strategic decision-makers and advisers with monthly analyses of:


* implications of the crisis, field by field
* deciphering of ongoing trends
* identification of short- and medium-term future-bearer information
* anticipation of future stages of the transition
* decision-support strategic advice, field by field



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GEAB N°86 - Contents

- Published on June 17, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis – The Major Global Geopolitical Reconfiguration
After nearly 6 years of blocking the normal development of systemic transition, a blocking caused by a flood of dollars leading to a renewed artificial global addiction to the US dollar, history is now taking its course… (page 2)
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The US 2014-2015: the dominoes of pensions, Munis and the Dollar
Numerous cracks come from the outside: for example the challenge to US dominance by China and Russia. But, amongst the most serious cracks in the Dollar wall, is the market for US municipal bonds and the US pension system… (page 19)
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Central Banks – What the coexistence of QE and deflation reveals about the Western financial system
Common sense (or rather economic sense) would expect that excessive use of the printing press, especially in the US and Japan, causes inflation – if not hyperinflation given the amount of money injected into the system. And yet, it’s nothing of the kind. Are deflation and the printing press conniving in the US? Or in Europe? How can that be possible? (page 25)
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Investments, trends and recommendations
Blackmail in the BNP affair
« Sufficiently big to fine »
Alternative financial investments… (page 30)
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GlobalEurometre - Results and analyses
Even if some financial issues, such as the risk of bank failures or the fear of losing one’s money, seem to be less worrying, for the first time in several months we are seeing signs of a weakening in confidence in the European currency… (page 35)
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