GEAB is at the origin of the concept of 'global systemic crisis'




GEAB is at the origin of the concept of 'global systemic crisis'
As early as February 15th, the second issue of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (GEAB N°2 announced that an international political, economic and monetary crisis was to be triggered in the course of the last week of March 2006. The public announcement summing up this position toured the world, raising virulent criticisms of course, but above all warm thanks and vivid gratefulness for having opened a debate considered a healthy one.

GEAB 2 revealed in particular a major fact, unknown from big media and the majority of financial analysts: the US Fed’s decision to stop the publication of a macro-economic indicator, one essential to assess the dollar’s and global economy’s health, the M3 indicator. Leap/E2020 analysed this information as a decision to monetarize the US debt and to hide the triggering of a dollar-collapse process.

As predicted by Leap/E2020, and despite doubts expressed by many professionals and a resounding silence from the part of all big media, on March 23, 2006, the US Federal Reserve stopped M3 publication, the dollar started its descent and the crisis began to expand to various emerging monetary and financial markets (Arab Stock Exchange Markets, Iceland, New-Zealand, Hungary, Brazil…), bringing the dollar down by 4% in just a month, in a context of speculative currency attacks.

LEAP/E2020 took a great risk by making this prediction in February 2006, at a time when all public economic indicators were euphoric, and by making the choice to stick to its convictions against all mainstream opinions at that time. The now admitted correctness of the prediction acknowledges a unique capacity of global anticipation and trans-disciplinary analysis on the part of the team of Leap/E2020 researchers.

Each month, GEAB, in partnership with the Dutch foundation GEFIRA, provides you with Leap/E2020’s capacity of analysis and anticipation, with its European vision and unrivalled independence, in order to assist you in your dealing with a future becoming day after day more complex to predict.

To anticipate the crisis’ next steps in order to deal with the global systemic transition …

Since the beginning, GEAB has interpreted the current crisis as a global systemic crisis, i.e., one resulting from a change of system: the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 resulted in the end of the USA-USSR bi-polar world system, and initiated a transitory system of supremacy of the USA-pole over the world; In 2006, the dollar collapse is a fall of the "Washington Wall" and both the indicator and the central factor of the global systemix crisis.

Economy, strategy, finance, politics, … all fields are affected by this major systemic transition. GEAB intends to be among the instruments enabling you to make the right decisions based on a clear understanding of the international context, on the precise identification of future-bearer tracks, and on a reliable analysis of the means to enter these tracks.

This founding-prediction gives the tone to all GEAB publications, which provide financial, political, academic and strategic decision-makers and advisers with monthly analyses of:


* implications of the crisis, field by field
* deciphering of ongoing trends
* identification of short- and medium-term future-bearer information
* anticipation of future stages of the transition
* decision-support strategic advice, field by field



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GEAB N°90 - Contents

- Published on December 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

. « Global systemic crisis: the end of the West we have known since 1945 »
. The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era
. The US in one hell of a state
. Europe post-Ukraine: lots of questions
. Three missions for the new Europe: resolve the Ukrainian crisis, put Euro-Russian relations back on the right path, avoid a European QE
. Middle East: traditional alliances’ big waltz
. Saudi Arabia, Iran: the allies change sides
. And Western « values » in all this
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2015 – new phase of the crisis: the oil systemic crisis

. The impact of speculation
. Price War
. Systemic oil crisis and finance
. Systemic oil crisis and geopolitics
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Investments, trends and recommendations

. Oil: beware!
. Energy intensive industries like airline companies
. Renewable energy: the good and the bad
. 2015: Euro & Yen rebound
. Gold: still safe
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Evaluation of our anticipations for 2014
(from GEAB N° 81 in January 2014): a 69% success rate
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