GEAB N°81 - Contents

- Published on January 16, 2014 -

2014 –World political chaos, statistical « smog », risk that the financial planet explodes… But solutions for the future continue to emerge
At the beginning of 2014 the spotlight is henceforth on the Eurozone, China, Russia and the BRICS where the tools to shape the “world afterwards” are being designed with incredible rapidity: the “world before” is handing over to “the world afterwards”. Nevertheless, there is a permanent risk of an explosion from the overheated financial planet driven by the incredible US imbalances … (page 2)
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Anticipations 2014 : « 13 up and 13 down », 26 key trends
LEAP/E2020 decided to offer subscribers a brief panorama of 13 subjects which, according to our team, will strengthen during this year and of 13 others which, on the contrary, will have disappeared from the news by the end of 2014… (page 11)

Events calendar 2014
In order to anticipate the changes in 2014, it’s good to bear in mind the year’s upcoming events, including the world electoral calendar. We are, therefore, setting out a selection of events planned for 2014… (page 22)

Investments, trends and recommendations
The UK economy
China goes electric
World imbalances… (page 25)

GlobalEurometre - Results and analyses
This month, the overall view revealed by the GlobalEurometre is of a certain calming concerning the specific situation in Europe […] On the other hand, internationally, sentiment is much worse … (page 29)

Special announcement
Discuss the world crisis using the specialised principles of political anticipation !
What's new in FEFAP political anticipation training… (page 33)

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GEAB N°90 - Contents

- Published on December 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

. « Global systemic crisis: the end of the West we have known since 1945 »
. The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era
. The US in one hell of a state
. Europe post-Ukraine: lots of questions
. Three missions for the new Europe: resolve the Ukrainian crisis, put Euro-Russian relations back on the right path, avoid a European QE
. Middle East: traditional alliances’ big waltz
. Saudi Arabia, Iran: the allies change sides
. And Western « values » in all this
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2015 – new phase of the crisis: the oil systemic crisis

. The impact of speculation
. Price War
. Systemic oil crisis and finance
. Systemic oil crisis and geopolitics

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Oil: beware!
. Energy intensive industries like airline companies
. Renewable energy: the good and the bad
. 2015: Euro & Yen rebound
. Gold: still safe

Evaluation of our anticipations for 2014
(from GEAB N° 81 in January 2014): a 69% success rate