GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
UK house prices fall for second monthTelegraph
GM, Ford post double-digit drop in August salesMarket Watch
Beck, Palin tell thousands to 'restore America'Washington Post
U.S. Economy Slowed to 1.6% Pace in 2nd QuarterNew York Times
Four possible scenarios for the future of IsraelNewropeans Magazine
El-Erian: How to read Bernanke’s Jackson Hole SpeechFinancial Times - Alphaville
Durable Goods Collapse24/7 Wall St
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GEAB N°7 - Contents1- September 2006: IMF confirms LEAP/E2020’s anticipations on Global Systemic Crisis
While LEAP/E2020 publishes GEAB’s present issue, continuing its work of anticipation of the global systemic crisis, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes two reports which confirm the forecasts released by LEAP/E2020 throughout the year...
2- Trends – Continuing of the fall of the Dollar / A US economy entering stagflation
Firstly, LEAP/E2020 confirms the crisis is still accelerating and should last from June to November 2006, as we had already announced last May. In addition, our teams can now anticipate more precisely two essential developments: 1°/the continuing of the fall of the Dollar compared to the Euro, and 2°/ the stagnation of the American economy in a phase of stagflation and the rise of unemployment...
3- Strategic Advice - LEAP/E2020 launches a “Crisis Alert” on the real estate market in Europe
The American real estate bubble has exploded. Today the debate in the United States focuses on the extent of the impact this explosion will have on the remainder of the economy. Europeans should attentively follow this phenomenon which is already affecting the Old Continent...
4- Israel 2020- 2 scenarios for the future: Scenario 1: Towards the end of the State of Israel / Scenario 2: Towards a durable Israeli state
Continuing its in-depth analysis of the consequences of the end of the world order which had been the legacy of WWII, LEAP/E2020 started several months ago a strategic reflexion on the future of Israel. In this number 7 of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin, our teams present the two major options which, according to our work, are offered to the Israelis as the future of their country by the year 2020...
5- French presidential elections: Nicolas Sarkozy and Ségolène Royal, the increasingly virtual “favourites”
The LEAP/E2020 team, in the continuity of projections published on this subject in the GEAB N°5 (May 2006), believes that the end of 2006 will prove equally virtual the “favourites” chosen by the Parisian elite, namely Nicolas Sarkozy (right) and Ségolène Royal (left). Besides, each one of them faces identical problems...
6- American legislative elections - November 2006: Towards a politico-institutional blocking in Washington, with important political, economic and commercial consequences
The American constitutional context is founded on the separation of powers in a logic of “check and balances”: the President and the Congress have almost no direct power over each other and are thus condemned, when they belong to opposed majorities, either to constantly work out compromises, or to paralyse the apparatus of the American State...
7- GlobalEurometre
Your 4 monthly indicators: Tide-Action, Tide-Legitimacy and Tide-Governance & Tide External / Defence...
Vendredi 16 Juin 2006
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GEAB N°46 - Contents- Published on June 16, 2010 -
Global systemic crisis / Second half of 2010: The global system’s four single points of failure
The second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure of the international system... (page 2) Subscribe Western public debt: When insolvency becomes intolerable Between now and the end of 2010 the whole world will have learned all the lessons from the « Greek crisis ». In fact, there are only two lessons to learn from… (page 5) Subscribe European austerity: When contextual growth is abandoned in favour of structural stability In speaking of the Eurozone we have written about « a policy » of austerity and not « policies of austerity » as indeed Germany now sets the standards on the subject... (page 8) Subscribe Chinese inflation: When China is going to begin exporting its inflation As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the Chinese new impetus plan is coming to an end and opens up two connected problems... (page 12) Subscribe US contraction: From « hidden mass austerity » to « imposed Federal austerity » The November 2010 mid-term elections will be the first electoral test of a United States in crisis... (page 14) Read public announcement Second series of elements for a methodology of political anticipation: Questions about source material and team management Second series of excerpts from the Manual of Political Anticipation which LEAP will publish in October 2010. (page 19) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations for the second half of 2010 US municipal bond market (« munis »): The major shock Currencies: The hurricane will strengthen with even higher waves! World stock markets face the unthinkable Gold, cash, precious metals, real estate… (page 23) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses Those polled are now unanimously agreed (a rare case for the GlobalEurometre) calling for the establishment of European and Asiatic rating agencies so as to no longer depend on the goodwill of Moody’s, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s.… (page 26) Subscribe Special subscribers’ announcements EU-Russia seminar, Nice, September 23/24 septembre, 2010 Political Anticipation Academy, cycle 2010-2011 (page 30) Subscribe |
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GEAB N°46 - Contents