GEAB N°7 - Contents




1- September 2006: IMF confirms LEAP/E2020’s anticipations on Global Systemic Crisis

While LEAP/E2020 publishes GEAB’s present issue, continuing its work of anticipation of the global systemic crisis, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes two reports which confirm the forecasts released by LEAP/E2020 throughout the year...

2- Trends – Continuing of the fall of the Dollar / A US economy entering stagflation

Firstly, LEAP/E2020 confirms the crisis is still accelerating and should last from June to November 2006, as we had already announced last May. In addition, our teams can now anticipate more precisely two essential developments: 1°/the continuing of the fall of the Dollar compared to the Euro, and 2°/ the stagnation of the American economy in a phase of stagflation and the rise of unemployment...

3- Strategic Advice - LEAP/E2020 launches a “Crisis Alert” on the real estate market in Europe

The American real estate bubble has exploded. Today the debate in the United States focuses on the extent of the impact this explosion will have on the remainder of the economy. Europeans should attentively follow this phenomenon which is already affecting the Old Continent...

4- Israel 2020- 2 scenarios for the future: Scenario 1: Towards the end of the State of Israel / Scenario 2: Towards a durable Israeli state

Continuing its in-depth analysis of the consequences of the end of the world order which had been the legacy of WWII, LEAP/E2020 started several months ago a strategic reflexion on the future of Israel. In this number 7 of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin, our teams present the two major options which, according to our work, are offered to the Israelis as the future of their country by the year 2020...

5- French presidential elections: Nicolas Sarkozy and Ségolène Royal, the increasingly virtual “favourites”

The LEAP/E2020 team, in the continuity of projections published on this subject in the GEAB N°5 (May 2006), believes that the end of 2006 will prove equally virtual the “favourites” chosen by the Parisian elite, namely Nicolas Sarkozy (right) and Ségolène Royal (left). Besides, each one of them faces identical problems...

6- American legislative elections - November 2006: Towards a politico-institutional blocking in Washington, with important political, economic and commercial consequences

The American constitutional context is founded on the separation of powers in a logic of “check and balances”: the President and the Congress have almost no direct power over each other and are thus condemned, when they belong to opposed majorities, either to constantly work out compromises, or to paralyse the apparatus of the American State...

7- GlobalEurometre

Your 4 monthly indicators: Tide-Action, Tide-Legitimacy and Tide-Governance & Tide External / Defence...

Vendredi 16 Juin 2006
LEAP / Europe 2020
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GEAB N°75 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2013 -

Systemic crisis 2013: with record stock exchange highs, the planets imminent plunge into recession
The world economy is slowing down badly and a widespread recession is looming. The various players are fully aware of it and, in the face of the challenges of an imminent collapse, countries or regions are putting various strategies in place to try and limit the consequences… (page 2)
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BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures
In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how the major western central banks act, the limits, the advantages, and the disadvantages of their interventions. We explain their policies in broad terms… (page 9)
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GEAB Dollar and Euro index
The traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. Henceforth, our team will also publish the GEAB $ index together with the GEAB € index… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Decoupling of paper and physical gold
. European sovereign bonds: the ECB is still the boss
. Stock exchanges: when QE rains money ! … (page 17)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and analysis
The general tone of this month's poll is sombre, to say the least. Confidence in the capacity to manage the Euro crisis has literally collapsed this month, the fear of losing money has significantly risen … (page 18)
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