GEAB N°66 - Contents


- Published on June 19, 2012 -



Red Alert / Global systemic crisis – September-October 2012: When the trumpets of Jericho ring out seven times for the world before the crisis
LEAP/E2020 has never seen the chronological convergence of such a series of explosive and so fundamental factors (economy, finances, geopolitical…) since 2006, the start of its work on the global systemic crisis. Logically, in our modest attempt to regularly publish a “crisis weather forecast”, we must therefore give our readers a “Red Alert” … (page 2)
Read public announcement

Three economic-financial shocks at the heart of the historic September/October 2012 shock
Amongst the thirteen factors which converge around the September/October period 2012 for the “endgame” of the world before the crisis, LEAP/E2020 has particularly chosen to expand its anticipations concerning three of them whose importance will structure the impact of the shock in world economic, monetary and financial spheres…
(page 6)
Subscribe

A chronological convergence of four major geopolitical crises in September/October 2012
As we analyze in this issue, LEAP/E2020 clearly discerns the worsening factors and the risk of explosion of these four sources of major tension involving strategic international and regional players at the same time; whilst noting the disappearance or rapid weakening of all the braking or appeasing factors… (page 12)
Subscribe

Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies: Repositioning necessary
. Gold: Stay on course
. Stock Exchanges: Last reminder before chaos
. Banks: Major Danger (page 19)
Subscribe

June 2012 GEAB $ Index - Unprecedented since 2006: the US$ is rising against the €, ¥, Ұ and R$ basket
This index, measuring GDP in US Dollars, makes it possible for example to evaluate the US economy’s very significant decline compared to the world economy’s main players. And for investments in that currency, it gives a valid indication of the effective loss in value of US Dollar denominated assets since 2006… (page 21)
Subscribe

The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
One now notes that nearly all respondents consider that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (96% this month versus 91% last month). In the coming months this factor will probably weigh heavily on the debate over increased Euroland integration… (page 22)
Subscribe

Special announcement - The Political Anticipation Method©: 10 week online training course
LEAP/E2020 is re-launching its political anticipation© training courses! Henceforth these will be completely online and in three languages (German, English and French) to begin with (Spanish will be added to the list shortly thereafter)… (page 24)
Subscribe

Mardi 19 Juin 2012
Marie-Helene Caillol
Lu 12612 fois


In the same category:
1 2 3 4 5 » ... 8

GEAB N°76 - Contents

- Published on June 16, 2013 -

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale
A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)
Read public announcement

EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise
The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)
Subscribe

The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound
If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)
Subscribe

Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?
Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)
Subscribe

Strategic and operational recommendations
Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)
Subscribe

The GlobalEurometre, Results and analyses
This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)
Subscribe