GEAB N°62 - Contents


- Published on Fevruary 17, 2012 -



Euroland 2012-2016: Stabilization of a new global power under condition of democratization
As previously announced, LEAP/E2020 is presenting its anticipations for Europe over the 2012-2016 period in this issue. In the context of a global systemic crisis, two strategic trends will mark these five years for Europeans: on the one hand the stabilization of Euroland as a new full global power; and, on the other, the absolute requirement for the European elite to raise the democratic yoke which now weighs heavily on the process of European integration… (page 2)
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2013: The end of US Dollar domination for settling international commercial transactions
In this issue our team has decided to look into the evolution of the Dollar’s role in the world economy, in particular with regard to its share settling world trade and financial transactions. It’s a guideline which appears much more relevant to us for anticipating the “Fall of the Dollar Wall” than that classically used by the international media and financial experts, namely the share of world foreign exchange reserves… (page 11)
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Book: 2015 – The big fall of Western real estate
In this GEAB issue, LEAP/E2020 is pleased to share a preview of an extract from the book entitled “2015 - The great fall of Western real estate” with its subscribers, which Anticipolis editions will publish this next March (in French, English and German). This extract details the extent of the falls in the major Western residential property markets which Sylvain Périfel and Philippe Schneider, the joint authors of the work… (page 20)
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January 2012 GEAB $ Index: the US$ accelerates its loss in value against the €, ¥, Ұ and R$ basket
As our team has explained in many GEAB issues, the traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. In fact, it’s founded on a basket of currencies which is no longer representative, either of the world’s major monetary balances, or of United States trade. This basket of currencies is in fact a “small club Western” even more illegitimate today than the G8… (page 22)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies: The big slide
. Gold: Be very careful where you store it!
. Greece: Leaving democratic bankruptcy! The 4 key points of a programme likely to bring 800% of Greeks together
. Stock exchanges/US economy: The great masquerade of this winter
. Western residential real estate: The big fall starts
. Correctly anticipating Euroland evolution
. Russia: Who will be Vladimir Putin’s future prime minister? (page 23)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and Analyses
With 69% of respondents (versus 58% in January 2012) expecting a big fall in the US Dollar in the coming months, we see a big rise in the majority negative opinion over the future of the US currency… (page 26)
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Vendredi 17 Février 2012
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GEAB N°90 - Contents

- Published on December 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

. « Global systemic crisis: the end of the West we have known since 1945 »
. The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era
. The US in one hell of a state
. Europe post-Ukraine: lots of questions
. Three missions for the new Europe: resolve the Ukrainian crisis, put Euro-Russian relations back on the right path, avoid a European QE
. Middle East: traditional alliances’ big waltz
. Saudi Arabia, Iran: the allies change sides
. And Western « values » in all this
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2015 – new phase of the crisis: the oil systemic crisis

. The impact of speculation
. Price War
. Systemic oil crisis and finance
. Systemic oil crisis and geopolitics
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Investments, trends and recommendations

. Oil: beware!
. Energy intensive industries like airline companies
. Renewable energy: the good and the bad
. 2015: Euro & Yen rebound
. Gold: still safe
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Evaluation of our anticipations for 2014
(from GEAB N° 81 in January 2014): a 69% success rate
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