GEAB N°60 - Contents


- Published on December 16, 2011 -



From the non-dislocation of Euroland to the dislocation of the United Kingdom
In fact this summit will have been historic, but not yet because it will have settled the European financial and budgetary problems. As we anticipated in December 2010, and as Angela Merkel has just said in the Bundestag, the Euroland path is a long journey, complex and chaotic, like the road traveled since the 1950s for European integration. But it’s a way that strengthens our continent and will place Euroland at the heart of the world after the crisis. If markets are not happy with this reality, it's their problem… (page 2)
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The future of the USA / 2012-2016: An insolvent and ungovernable United States
In this issue, our team gives its anticipations regarding the future of the United States for the 2012-2016 period. We recall that since 2006 and the first GEAB issues, LEAP/E2020 described the global systemic crisis as a phenomenon characterizing the end of the world as we know it since 1945, marking the collapse of the US pillar on which this world order has rested for nearly seven decades. Since 2006, we had identified the period 2011-2013 as that during which the "Dollar Wall" on which the power of the United States sits would fall apart… (page 7)
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Annual evaluation of LEAP’s anticipations – An 82% success rate in 2011
In January 2011, in the GEAB N°51 issue, the LEAP/E2020 team presented its anticipations for “Thirty two key trends for 2011”. They were split between “Seventeen topics which are going to increase in importance during 2011” and “Fifteen topics which will fade away during the course of 2011”. Before introducing its anticipations for 2012 (to be published in the January 2012 issue N°61), and in the setting of an ongoing evaluation of its analyses, LEAP/E2020 wished, as it does every year, to prepare a balance sheet of its 2011 anticipations to establish their reliability… (page 20)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies: Reversal in sight
. Stock exchanges: The salvation is…!
. Gold: Constancy
. Pound sterling, Gilts and UK debts: The major risk of the United Kingdom breaking up by 2015
. Five strategic proposals to modernize the US institutional system
(page 29)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
With 65% of respondents (versus 44% in November) expecting a US Dollar collapse in the coming months, we see a strong rise in majority negative opinion over the future of the US currency … (page 32)
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Vendredi 16 Décembre 2011
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GEAB N°75 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2013 -

Systemic crisis 2013: with record stock exchange highs, the planets imminent plunge into recession
The world economy is slowing down badly and a widespread recession is looming. The various players are fully aware of it and, in the face of the challenges of an imminent collapse, countries or regions are putting various strategies in place to try and limit the consequences… (page 2)
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BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures
In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how the major western central banks act, the limits, the advantages, and the disadvantages of their interventions. We explain their policies in broad terms… (page 9)
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GEAB Dollar and Euro index
The traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. Henceforth, our team will also publish the GEAB $ index together with the GEAB € index… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Decoupling of paper and physical gold
. European sovereign bonds: the ECB is still the boss
. Stock exchanges: when QE rains money ! … (page 17)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and analysis
The general tone of this month's poll is sombre, to say the least. Confidence in the capacity to manage the Euro crisis has literally collapsed this month, the fear of losing money has significantly risen … (page 18)
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