GEAB N°60 - Contents


- Published on December 16, 2011 -



From the non-dislocation of Euroland to the dislocation of the United Kingdom
In fact this summit will have been historic, but not yet because it will have settled the European financial and budgetary problems. As we anticipated in December 2010, and as Angela Merkel has just said in the Bundestag, the Euroland path is a long journey, complex and chaotic, like the road traveled since the 1950s for European integration. But it’s a way that strengthens our continent and will place Euroland at the heart of the world after the crisis. If markets are not happy with this reality, it's their problem… (page 2)
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The future of the USA / 2012-2016: An insolvent and ungovernable United States
In this issue, our team gives its anticipations regarding the future of the United States for the 2012-2016 period. We recall that since 2006 and the first GEAB issues, LEAP/E2020 described the global systemic crisis as a phenomenon characterizing the end of the world as we know it since 1945, marking the collapse of the US pillar on which this world order has rested for nearly seven decades. Since 2006, we had identified the period 2011-2013 as that during which the "Dollar Wall" on which the power of the United States sits would fall apart… (page 7)
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Annual evaluation of LEAP’s anticipations – An 82% success rate in 2011
In January 2011, in the GEAB N°51 issue, the LEAP/E2020 team presented its anticipations for “Thirty two key trends for 2011”. They were split between “Seventeen topics which are going to increase in importance during 2011” and “Fifteen topics which will fade away during the course of 2011”. Before introducing its anticipations for 2012 (to be published in the January 2012 issue N°61), and in the setting of an ongoing evaluation of its analyses, LEAP/E2020 wished, as it does every year, to prepare a balance sheet of its 2011 anticipations to establish their reliability… (page 20)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Currencies: Reversal in sight
. Stock exchanges: The salvation is…!
. Gold: Constancy
. Pound sterling, Gilts and UK debts: The major risk of the United Kingdom breaking up by 2015
. Five strategic proposals to modernize the US institutional system
(page 29)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
With 65% of respondents (versus 44% in November) expecting a US Dollar collapse in the coming months, we see a strong rise in majority negative opinion over the future of the US currency … (page 32)
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Vendredi 16 Décembre 2011
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GEAB N°90 - Contents

- Published on December 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

. « Global systemic crisis: the end of the West we have known since 1945 »
. The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era
. The US in one hell of a state
. Europe post-Ukraine: lots of questions
. Three missions for the new Europe: resolve the Ukrainian crisis, put Euro-Russian relations back on the right path, avoid a European QE
. Middle East: traditional alliances’ big waltz
. Saudi Arabia, Iran: the allies change sides
. And Western « values » in all this
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2015 – new phase of the crisis: the oil systemic crisis

. The impact of speculation
. Price War
. Systemic oil crisis and finance
. Systemic oil crisis and geopolitics
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Investments, trends and recommendations

. Oil: beware!
. Energy intensive industries like airline companies
. Renewable energy: the good and the bad
. 2015: Euro & Yen rebound
. Gold: still safe
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Evaluation of our anticipations for 2014
(from GEAB N° 81 in January 2014): a 69% success rate
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