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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
December trade deficit at widest in six monthsMarket Watch
High-yield bond buyers skeptical of job gainsMarket Watch
Latin American leaders assail U.S. drug ‘market’Washington Post
China's export drops 0.5% y-o-y in JanShanghai Daily
A New Generation Aims to Revitalize RussiaDer Spiegel
Landmark settlement announced on foreclosure, mortgage fraudWashington Post
PASOK deputies seek deficit probeEkathimerini
Mean-Spirited, Bad EconomicsIn These New Times
China's CPI at three-month highChina Daily
Bank of England adds another dose of QEMarket Watch
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GEAB N°5 - Contents1- June 2006 - Beginning of phase 2 of the global systemic crisis: the phase of acceleration
Last February, LEAP/E2020 anticipated that a global systemic crisis was to be triggered at the end of March. Today, three months later, LEAP/E2020 can anticipate that the initial phase of this crisis is about to be finished and that, as soon as the beginning of June 2006, the crisis will enter a phase of acceleration. Before detailing the main features of this new phase, LEAP/E2020 would like to clarify the 4 different phases of a global systemic crisis… (p. 2)
2- Phase of acceleration of the crisis: Seven concrete consequences for economic and political players and decision-makers
LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the sectoral losses of confidence will converge in June 2006, and tend to generalise in each sector, resulting in an acceleration of the crisis unfolding process. The acceleration, should elapse over 3 to 6 months, and will convey seven concrete consequences. … (p. 5)
3- EU 2007 - French presidential elections: towards an election full of surprises / Upcoming German EU presidency: the reasons why it is doomed to impotence
During the first semester of 2007, two major events for the EU will combine. In fact, European authorities believe that that semester will be key in re-launching the broken down EU: on the one hand, the French presidential election, and on the other hand, the German presidency of the EU. However LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the French election is most likely to provoke some surprises and to disappoint the European expectations placed in it. While the German EU presidency has already set for itself unreachable goals… (p. 11)
4- Investors’ corner – Global systemic crisis: How to survive with a euro worth 1,50 USD and an oil-barrel worth 150 USD?
When the two pillars of the global economic system that prevailed in the last 60 years collapse, i.e., the Dollar as reference-currency and oil as cheap energy, it is high time for investors, and private and collective strategy makers to reconsider many things. What impact will have a Euro worth 1.50 USD and an oil-barrel worth 150 USD? These levels have not yet been reached, but LEAP/E2020 anticipates that they should become a reality by the end of the acceleration-phase of the crisis, at the beginning of its impact-phase, and that is no later than November 2006… (p. 15)
5- GlobalEurometre
This month’s four indicators of the GlobalEurometre: Tide-Action, Tide-Legitimacy, Tide-Governance and Tide External/Defence. (p. 17)
Lundi 2 Octobre 2006
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GEAB N°61 - Contents- Published on January 16, 2012 -
Global systemic crisis - 2012: The year of the world’s great geopolitical swing
This GEAB issue makes it six years that the LEAP/ E2020 team have shared their anticipations with their subscribers and readers of their public briefing on the development of the global systemic crisis each month. And, for the first time, in the January issue which presents a summary of our anticipations for the year to come, our team anticipates a year which will not result solely in a worsening of the world crisis but which will also be characterized by the emergence of the first constructive elements of the “world after the crisis”… (page 2) Read public announcement USA 2012: on the way towards the tragedy of QE3 Today, US financial policy is confronted by the sovereign debt crisis of which it will be the ultimate victim in 2012. As LEAP/E2020 anticipated, the 2011 European debt detonator has truly ignited the 2012 American sovereign debt bomb, even if the media coverage desperately tries to make us believe the opposite. The massive sale of US Treasury Bills by the planet’s major central banks in the second half-year 2011 perfectly illustrates this situation incidentally… (page 7) Subscribe ANTICIPATIONS 2012 - ‘20-UP AND 15-DOWN’, THIRTY FIVE KEY TRENDS FOR 2012 Up or Down? The United States' political paralysis; The City and Wall Street ; The rise in interest rates; The forfeiting of value to Wall Street and the City; The value of Chinese reserves; The Pound Sterling (and Gilts); Euroland as new European sovereign; The USA-China “little cold war”; Italy; The importance of the US Dollar in world trade transactions; Rating agencies; The “great European public borrowing” (GEPB); MerkHollMont; Ron Paul; The number, size and influence of Western banks; The continuation of gold’s return in the international monetary system; Recessflation; Sarkozy, Cameron, Netanyahu and Medvedev; The BRICS maturing as a pro-active world player; Turkey’s exit from the Western camp; The Tobin Eurotax; Secular and pro-Western forces in the Muslim world; Growth; The usefulness of the G20; Lawsuits against those managing banks and hedge funds; The splitting of the world monetary system into three zones: Dollar, Euro, Yuan; The widespread downgrade of Western public debt; Peoples' anger; The Euro crisis; The EU as the principal incarnation of Europe; QE3 as the ultimate weapon for saving the US economy; The US’ capacity for military intervention; The West as a community of relevance and values; Scottish independence; Le détroit d'Ormuz et un nouveau contexte de crise au Moyen-Orient ; L'indépendance de l'Ecosse; The Straits of Hormuz and a new context of the Middle East crisis (page 19) (page 19) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses We are seeing a strengthening in the majority considering that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (80% in January versus 77% in December)… (page 33) Subscribe 
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GEAB N°61 - Contents