GEAB N°49 - Contents


- Published on November 16, 2010 -



2012-2013: The double electoral shock of French and German elections
According to LEAP/E2020, the French elections in 2012 (presidential election followed by the legislative elections) and the German federal elections planned for 2013 will set the scene for two major shocks destined to disrupt the balances of political power in these two pillars of Euroland and the European Union… (page 2)
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Warning Global systemic crisis – First quarter 2011: Breach of the critical threshold of global geopolitical dislocation
With the G20 summit in Seoul, which signalled to the planet in its entirety the end of US domination of the international agenda and its replacement by a generalised mood of “every man for himself”, a new phase of the crisis has begun, prompting the LEAP/E2020 team to issue a new warning. The world is about to breach a critical threshold in this phase of global geopolitical dislocation... (page 9)

. Concluding the quantitative easing: the Fed placed under “house arrest” (page 11)

. Political paralysis in Washington: the US adrift, the dollar in freefall, and austerity looming in 2011 (page 12)

. European austerity: spread of social resistance movements; mounting populism; risk of fostering radicalism in rising generations; higher taxes (page 14)

. Strengthening of Euroland and beginning of euro manipulation in Europe (page 15)

. United Kingdom: a former power falters (page 16)

. Japan: the latest efforts to resist China’s power (page 17)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
Three simple but indispensable reflexes for a better understanding of the new world taking shape / Currency/interest rates/gold & precious metals / The Wealth Preservation Index / Asset classes dominated in US Dollars (page 19)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
The very large majority traditionally unsatisfied with European governments’ actions in relation to their people’s expectations remains at peak levels, with 95% unsatisfied (against 97% in October)… (page 24)
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Special subscribers’ announcements
. LEAP launches MAP "to renew our stock of potential futures"
. ‘Do GEAB yourself’ with the Manual of political anticipation
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Mercredi 17 Novembre 2010
LEAP/E2020
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GEAB N°75 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2013 -

Systemic crisis 2013: with record stock exchange highs, the planets imminent plunge into recession
The world economy is slowing down badly and a widespread recession is looming. The various players are fully aware of it and, in the face of the challenges of an imminent collapse, countries or regions are putting various strategies in place to try and limit the consequences… (page 2)
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BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures
In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how the major western central banks act, the limits, the advantages, and the disadvantages of their interventions. We explain their policies in broad terms… (page 9)
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GEAB Dollar and Euro index
The traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. Henceforth, our team will also publish the GEAB $ index together with the GEAB € index… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Decoupling of paper and physical gold
. European sovereign bonds: the ECB is still the boss
. Stock exchanges: when QE rains money ! … (page 17)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and analysis
The general tone of this month's poll is sombre, to say the least. Confidence in the capacity to manage the Euro crisis has literally collapsed this month, the fear of losing money has significantly risen … (page 18)
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