GEAB N°48 - Contents


- Published on October 16, 2010 -



Russia and Euroland: Two key players in the centre of the global stage 2011-2014
Russia is, in fact, the first global player to have completed the transformation from a world power constituted after 1945, which it was, to a power in the world after the global systemic crisis that we are currently experiencing; as for Euroland, it’s an effective player, directly rooted in the desire to exit the world order created after 1945, which is in the course of asserting itself before our eyes on the basis of its monetary identity and which, de facto, increasingly guides decisions throughout the EU. Therefore, both, Russia and Euroland are part of what we might call the first global players "renewed" by the crisis… (page 2)
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Global systemic crisis - LEAP/E2020’s analysis of 39 countries’ risks 2010-2014 (USA, Euroland, China, Japan, UK, Brazil, Germany, India, Russia, Australia, Argentina, Sweden, Egypt, Switzerland, Philippines, Spain, Italy , Mexico, Norway, South Korea, Morocco, Israel, Poland, ...): A collective but contrasting dive into the phase of world geopolitical dislocation
In this issue, our team introduces the annual "country risk" update in the light of the crisis. Based on an analysis incorporating eleven criteria this year, this decision-making tool has already demonstrated its relevance in faithfully anticipating developments over these past twelve months (these country- risk analyses may be particularly useful for those planning an investment in a given country, intending to settle there or wishing to make an investment in assets linked to that country)... (page 9)
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The inability of the G20 to change the international balance of power in 2009 leads to inevitable global geopolitical dislocation (An extract from Franck Biancheri’s book called « World crisis: The path to the world after - France, Europe, the World in the 2010-2020 decade)
The inability of the G20 summits in late 2008 and 2009 to address the central issue of current global governance (i.e. the role of the US Dollar as the international reserve currency) has initiated a process of global geopolitical dislocation which will be the dominant trend of the 2010-2020 decade… (page 19)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
Currencies, Gold (page 22)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
At 96%, there is no change in the vast majority of Europeans who continue to favour the Euro to the US Dollar, Japanese Yen and British Pound and would not exchange their Euros for these currencies. This confidence in the Euro is also marked in relation to gold… (page 24)
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GEAB N°90 - Contents

- Published on December 15, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

. « Global systemic crisis: the end of the West we have known since 1945 »
. The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era
. The US in one hell of a state
. Europe post-Ukraine: lots of questions
. Three missions for the new Europe: resolve the Ukrainian crisis, put Euro-Russian relations back on the right path, avoid a European QE
. Middle East: traditional alliances’ big waltz
. Saudi Arabia, Iran: the allies change sides
. And Western « values » in all this
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2015 – new phase of the crisis: the oil systemic crisis

. The impact of speculation
. Price War
. Systemic oil crisis and finance
. Systemic oil crisis and geopolitics
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Investments, trends and recommendations

. Oil: beware!
. Energy intensive industries like airline companies
. Renewable energy: the good and the bad
. 2015: Euro & Yen rebound
. Gold: still safe
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Evaluation of our anticipations for 2014
(from GEAB N° 81 in January 2014): a 69% success rate
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