GEAB N°45 - Contents


- Published on May 16, 2010 -



Global systemic crisis – From « Eurozone coup d’Etat » to the tragic solitude of the United Kingdom, the pace of global geopolitical dislocation accelerates
The Eurozone leaders’ recent decisions confirm LEAP/E2020’s anticipations, contrary to the dominant chatter of these last few months, of the fact that not only will the Euro not « explode » because of the Greek problem but, on the contrary, a strengthened Eurozone will emerge from this stage of the crisis. One could even consider that, since the Eurozone decision, a kind of « Eurozone coup d’Etat » supported by Sweden and Poland, to create a huge apparatus to protect the interests of the 26 EU member states, the geopolitical deal in Europe has changed radically… (page 2)
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USA - The pseudo-recovery is an act of faith disconnected from all economic reality
Far from reflecting reality, this recovery more closely matches an « unrecovery » to use the title of Michael Panzner’s excellent article published on 04/27/2010 in Seeking Alpha (perhaps one would call it the « méprise (misunderstanding) » in French, except that it is certainly intentional on the part of Washington and Wall Street)… (page 10)
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From the necessary Eurozone coup d’Etat to the good governance of Euroland: The European challenge of the next six months
Let’s be very clear: the LEAP/2020 team consider that the European decisions of the weekend of 8/9 May 2010 of simultaneously confirming total Eurozone solidarity and putting the EU under Eurozone control, are good ones. They are fully recorded in the anticipations and advice published in the GEAB since 2006 and reflect the expectations of a very large majority of European citizens, which the near unanimity of GlobalEurometre replies over these last four years on the need for such governance has proved… (page 18)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
Currencies, stocks, gold, cash, precious metals, banks… (page 22)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
The United Kingdom now appears, to 95% of Europeans, as a country which is plunging into a widespread crisis… (page 24)
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Dimanche 16 Mai 2010


In the same category:

GEAB 55 - Contents - 16/05/2011

GEAB 54 - Contents - 16/04/2011

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GEAB N°61 - Contents

- Published on January 16, 2012 -

Global systemic crisis - 2012: The year of the world’s great geopolitical swing
This GEAB issue makes it six years that the LEAP/ E2020 team have shared their anticipations with their subscribers and readers of their public briefing on the development of the global systemic crisis each month. And, for the first time, in the January issue which presents a summary of our anticipations for the year to come, our team anticipates a year which will not result solely in a worsening of the world crisis but which will also be characterized by the emergence of the first constructive elements of the “world after the crisis”… (page 2)
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USA 2012: on the way towards the tragedy of QE3
Today, US financial policy is confronted by the sovereign debt crisis of which it will be the ultimate victim in 2012. As LEAP/E2020 anticipated, the 2011 European debt detonator has truly ignited the 2012 American sovereign debt bomb, even if the media coverage desperately tries to make us believe the opposite. The massive sale of US Treasury Bills by the planet’s major central banks in the second half-year 2011 perfectly illustrates this situation incidentally… (page 7)
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ANTICIPATIONS 2012 - ‘20-UP AND 15-DOWN’, THIRTY FIVE KEY TRENDS FOR 2012
Up or Down? The United States' political paralysis; The City and Wall Street ; The rise in interest rates; The forfeiting of value to Wall Street and the City; The value of Chinese reserves; The Pound Sterling (and Gilts); Euroland as new European sovereign; The USA-China “little cold war”; Italy; The importance of the US Dollar in world trade transactions; Rating agencies; The “great European public borrowing” (GEPB); MerkHollMont; Ron Paul; The number, size and influence of Western banks; The continuation of gold’s return in the international monetary system; Recessflation; Sarkozy, Cameron, Netanyahu and Medvedev; The BRICS maturing as a pro-active world player; Turkey’s exit from the Western camp; The Tobin Eurotax; Secular and pro-Western forces in the Muslim world; Growth; The usefulness of the G20; Lawsuits against those managing banks and hedge funds; The splitting of the world monetary system into three zones: Dollar, Euro, Yuan; The widespread downgrade of Western public debt; Peoples' anger; The Euro crisis; The EU as the principal incarnation of Europe; QE3 as the ultimate weapon for saving the US economy; The US’ capacity for military intervention; The West as a community of relevance and values; Scottish independence; Le détroit d'Ormuz et un nouveau contexte de crise au Moyen-Orient ; L'indépendance de l'Ecosse; The Straits of Hormuz and a new context of the Middle East crisis (page 19) (page 19)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
We are seeing a strengthening in the majority considering that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (80% in January versus 77% in December)… (page 33)
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