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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
December trade deficit at widest in six monthsMarket Watch
High-yield bond buyers skeptical of job gainsMarket Watch
Latin American leaders assail U.S. drug ‘market’Washington Post
China's export drops 0.5% y-o-y in JanShanghai Daily
A New Generation Aims to Revitalize RussiaDer Spiegel
Landmark settlement announced on foreclosure, mortgage fraudWashington Post
PASOK deputies seek deficit probeEkathimerini
Mean-Spirited, Bad EconomicsIn These New Times
China's CPI at three-month highChina Daily
Bank of England adds another dose of QEMarket Watch
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GEAB N°44 - Contents- Published on April 16, 2010 -
Global systemic crisis / USA-UK - The explosive duo of the second half of 2010: Summer 2010, the Bank of England battle / Winter 2010, the Fed at risk of bankruptcy
The fuss made over Greece by the English and US media in particular tried to hide from the majority of the economic, financial and political players the fact that the Greek problem wasn’t a sign of an upcoming Eurozone crisis but, in fact, an early warning of the next big shock of the global systemic crisis, that is to say a collision between, on the one hand, the virtual British and US economies founded on untenable levels of public and private debt and, on the other hand, the double wall of borrowing, maturing from 2011 onwards, combined with a global shortage of available funds for refinancing at low rates… (page 2) Read public announcement The United Kingdom – Summer 2010: The Bank of England battle The British elite are preparing to face one of the most dangerous periods in the modern history of the country. The combination of an uncertain interior political situation and a catastrophic budgetary, economic and financial condition contribute to high level civil servants calling the possibility of having to « channel » the result of the next General Election in order to avoid a political void fatal for the survival of the British currency… (page 7) Subscribe Winter 2010 – The Fed at risk of bankruptcy Not only has the Fed a balance sheet increasingly polluted with toxic assets but, in addition, it is obliged to resort to increasingly unrefined accounting tricks to hide the fact that it has become one of the major buyers of US Treasury bonds. LEAP/E2020 says that the summer 2010 British crisis will accelerate these two developments to end up, in Winter 2010/2011, at a situation that every bank, central or not, will become acquainted with: that of a risk of bankruptcy… (page 10) Subscribe First elements for a methodology of political anticipation In October 2010 LEAP will publish its « Manual of political anticipation », which will give an insight, for the first time, on the major elements of its method of political anticipation. It will be sold over the internet by LEAP and will be a theoretical and practical complement to the book on the world after the crisis which Franck Biancheri will publish through Plon at the same time. To thank them for their confidence and loyalty, LEAP has decided to provide preview of extracts from this manual to GEAB subscribers…. (page 15) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations Currencies, new returns and portfolio structures (page 20) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses 99% voted for the creation of European and Asiatic rating agencies, so as to no longer rely on the goodwill of Moody’s, Fitch and Standard and Poor’s.… (page 23) Subscribe Vendredi 16 Avril 2010
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GEAB N°61 - Contents- Published on January 16, 2012 -
Global systemic crisis - 2012: The year of the world’s great geopolitical swing
This GEAB issue makes it six years that the LEAP/ E2020 team have shared their anticipations with their subscribers and readers of their public briefing on the development of the global systemic crisis each month. And, for the first time, in the January issue which presents a summary of our anticipations for the year to come, our team anticipates a year which will not result solely in a worsening of the world crisis but which will also be characterized by the emergence of the first constructive elements of the “world after the crisis”… (page 2) Read public announcement USA 2012: on the way towards the tragedy of QE3 Today, US financial policy is confronted by the sovereign debt crisis of which it will be the ultimate victim in 2012. As LEAP/E2020 anticipated, the 2011 European debt detonator has truly ignited the 2012 American sovereign debt bomb, even if the media coverage desperately tries to make us believe the opposite. The massive sale of US Treasury Bills by the planet’s major central banks in the second half-year 2011 perfectly illustrates this situation incidentally… (page 7) Subscribe ANTICIPATIONS 2012 - ‘20-UP AND 15-DOWN’, THIRTY FIVE KEY TRENDS FOR 2012 Up or Down? The United States' political paralysis; The City and Wall Street ; The rise in interest rates; The forfeiting of value to Wall Street and the City; The value of Chinese reserves; The Pound Sterling (and Gilts); Euroland as new European sovereign; The USA-China “little cold war”; Italy; The importance of the US Dollar in world trade transactions; Rating agencies; The “great European public borrowing” (GEPB); MerkHollMont; Ron Paul; The number, size and influence of Western banks; The continuation of gold’s return in the international monetary system; Recessflation; Sarkozy, Cameron, Netanyahu and Medvedev; The BRICS maturing as a pro-active world player; Turkey’s exit from the Western camp; The Tobin Eurotax; Secular and pro-Western forces in the Muslim world; Growth; The usefulness of the G20; Lawsuits against those managing banks and hedge funds; The splitting of the world monetary system into three zones: Dollar, Euro, Yuan; The widespread downgrade of Western public debt; Peoples' anger; The Euro crisis; The EU as the principal incarnation of Europe; QE3 as the ultimate weapon for saving the US economy; The US’ capacity for military intervention; The West as a community of relevance and values; Scottish independence; Le détroit d'Ormuz et un nouveau contexte de crise au Moyen-Orient ; L'indépendance de l'Ecosse; The Straits of Hormuz and a new context of the Middle East crisis (page 19) (page 19) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses We are seeing a strengthening in the majority considering that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (80% in January versus 77% in December)… (page 33) Subscribe 
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GEAB N°61 - Contents