'El 76% de los europeos creen que la crisis no finalizará antes de 2012' (GlobalEurometre de junio de 2009)
'76 percent of the Europeans estimate that the crisis will not be over by 2012' (GlobalEurometre June 2009)
'76% des Européens estiment que la crise ne sera pas terminée d'ici 2012' (GlobalEuromètre de juin 2009)
'76% der Europäer gehen davon aus, dass die Krise nicht bis 2012 beendet sein wird' (GlobalEurometer Juni 2009)
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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
Mexico Slayings Rock U.S. ConsulateNew York Times
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Misleading us on climate changeNewropeans Magazine
The slap heard round the worldHaaretz
U.K. factory output falls unexpectedly in JanuaryMarket Watch
Call for action on speculation rulesFinancial Times
The Euro Has Been a Smashing SuccessWall Street Journal
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GEAB N°39 - Contents- Published on November 16, 2009 -
Global systemic crisis – States faced with three brutal options in 2010: inflation, high taxation or default
In the absence of major reappraisal of the international monetary order, the world is now entering the phase of geopolitical dislocation of the global systemic crisis. In 2010, as protectionism and the economic and social depression will gain momentum, a large number of States will be compelled to choose between three brutal options: inflation, high taxation or defaulting on their debt... (page 2) Read public announcement The end of the consumer-as-we-knew-him in the past thirty years For sure the American consumer, incarnation of the American Dream since Henry Ford, has died. But the Western consumer (outside the US) as we knew him in the past thirty years is also wearing out. In addition to that, LEAP/E2020 believes that it is wrong to think that Asians and Latin-Americans will replace these « consuming machines » and enable « planet-profit » to go on as it used to do… (page 6) Subscribe Crisis exit: In collision with reality – Real state of things at the end of 2009: USA, Euroland, China The United States, United Kingdom, or even Japan, striving to escape from defaulting, or France and Germany left with no other choice than raise taxes by the end of 2010, in any event, in 2010, as inflation will affect necessity goods and speculative assets, anti-crisis policies and the reality of the global systemic crisis will collide… (page 11) Subscribe Turkey’s awakening: Its gradual exit from the Western camp Taking advantage of the ongoing systemic crisis, and of the weakening of the US and of the Western superstructure over which the latter’s might is based, Turkey has entered a process of fundamental redefinition of its key geopolitical interests. The new priorities ready to break out by 2012 will account for Ankara’s most profound reappraisal since the country joined NATO in 1952… (page 16) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations . Currencies/Gold: Trends are being confirmed . Real estate: Renting or buying? A choice requiring careful consideration . Shares/Bonds: The tipping point is approaching . « Liquidity surplus »: An iconoclastic explanation (page 20) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses The unanimity of respondents (99 percent) sees no sign of economic improvement in their country… (page 22) Subscribe Lundi 16 Novembre 2009
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GEAB N°42 - Contents- Published on February 16, 2010 -
Second half of 2010: Sudden intensification of the global systemic crisis – Strengthening of five fundamental negative trends
Our team anticipates, in this 42nd issue of the GEAB, a sudden intensification of the crisis in the second half of 2010, caused by a double effect of a catching up of events which were temporarily « frozen » in the second half of 2009 and the impossibility of maintaining the palliative remedies of past years… (page 2) . The five characteristics which make up the « Greek case » into the tree with which one tries to hide the forest (page 5) . Goldman Sachs’ role in this Greek tragedy… and the next sovereign defaults (page 7) Read public announcement Three fundamental trends aggravating the crisis in the second half of 2010 For LEAP/E2020, behind the « sophisticated » dissertations on the exit from the crisis and the end of the policies of support for the economy and the financial sector hides a very simple truth, but one which governments and central bankers are unable to express: they don’t know what to do? when to do it? how to do it? and if they should do it alone or with the other big global players?… (page 9) The explosion of the bubble in public deficits and the corresponding increase in states failing to pay (page 10) The fatal impact of the Western banking system with mounting payment defaults and the wall of maturing debt (page 13) The inevitable rise in interest rates (page 15) Subscribe Russia: Better prepared to face the coming years than the other big global players That may seem paradoxical, especially for those who merely read the Western media, however the country has gone through a major transition towards the world after 1945 … since 1989. Russia is, a priori, assured of a lasting period of stable central power, which is far from being the case for the other major global players… (page 17) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations Currencies, Commercial real estate, Stocks, Precious metals (gold, silver, platinium…) (page 21) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses This month’s results show the existence of very contradictory trends, with strong directional changes depending on the issues. March will show whether these changes are lasting, or simply a sign of general confusion created by media commentary which is contrary to the personal experiences of those polled… (page 22) Subscribe |
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