GEAB N°33 - Contents


- Published March 16, 2009 -



Growing Transatlantic tensions on the eve of the G20 summit: An illustration of Wall Street’s and the City’s attempt to destabilize the EU banking system and the Euro
In the past month, Washington has deliberately been trying to break the EU and weaken the Eurozone by relentlessly relaying false information on « risks coming from the East » and by stigmatizing Europe’s “cold feet” as opposed to the US and UK’s “voluntarist” actions... (page 2)
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London’s G20 summit at the crossroads: Heading towards a crisis resolved in 3 to 5 years or towards a decade long uncontrolled crisis
According to LEAP/E2020, there are only two options left for the G20 leaders who gather next April 2nd in London: either they rebuild a new international monetary system, creating the conditions for a new global system that involves all the main global players, and reducing the crisis to a maximum of 3 to 5 years; or they strive to prolong the current system, thrusting the world into a decade long tragic crisis starting at the end of 2009... (page 9)
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Comprehensive index – Economic situation of the US in March 2010
To help our readers understand the reality in which the US is evolving today, and therefore to enable them to evaluate the global consequences of the crisis affecting the current global system’s cornerstone, LEAP/E2020 has decided to make a comprehensive forecast of the economic situation in the US a year from now, in March 2010, based on 50 different sources. This document is intended as a decision-support tool… (page 17)
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Post-G20 summit strategic and operational recommendations
Our team believes that the speed of change of all trends will increase, for better or for worse, after the April 2nd G20 summit. In this edition, we present a number of strategic and operational recommendations intended for savers and businesses in case the G20 proves unable to prevent a slide into a severe decade long crisis… (page 21)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
The respondents are nearly unanimous (93 percent) in believing that the next G20 summit should question the central role played by the US dollar… (page 23)
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Lundi 16 Mars 2009


In the same category:

GEAB 55 - Contents - 16/05/2011

GEAB 54 - Contents - 16/04/2011

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GEAB N°61 - Contents

- Published on January 16, 2012 -

Global systemic crisis - 2012: The year of the world’s great geopolitical swing
This GEAB issue makes it six years that the LEAP/ E2020 team have shared their anticipations with their subscribers and readers of their public briefing on the development of the global systemic crisis each month. And, for the first time, in the January issue which presents a summary of our anticipations for the year to come, our team anticipates a year which will not result solely in a worsening of the world crisis but which will also be characterized by the emergence of the first constructive elements of the “world after the crisis”… (page 2)
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USA 2012: on the way towards the tragedy of QE3
Today, US financial policy is confronted by the sovereign debt crisis of which it will be the ultimate victim in 2012. As LEAP/E2020 anticipated, the 2011 European debt detonator has truly ignited the 2012 American sovereign debt bomb, even if the media coverage desperately tries to make us believe the opposite. The massive sale of US Treasury Bills by the planet’s major central banks in the second half-year 2011 perfectly illustrates this situation incidentally… (page 7)
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ANTICIPATIONS 2012 - ‘20-UP AND 15-DOWN’, THIRTY FIVE KEY TRENDS FOR 2012
Up or Down? The United States' political paralysis; The City and Wall Street ; The rise in interest rates; The forfeiting of value to Wall Street and the City; The value of Chinese reserves; The Pound Sterling (and Gilts); Euroland as new European sovereign; The USA-China “little cold war”; Italy; The importance of the US Dollar in world trade transactions; Rating agencies; The “great European public borrowing” (GEPB); MerkHollMont; Ron Paul; The number, size and influence of Western banks; The continuation of gold’s return in the international monetary system; Recessflation; Sarkozy, Cameron, Netanyahu and Medvedev; The BRICS maturing as a pro-active world player; Turkey’s exit from the Western camp; The Tobin Eurotax; Secular and pro-Western forces in the Muslim world; Growth; The usefulness of the G20; Lawsuits against those managing banks and hedge funds; The splitting of the world monetary system into three zones: Dollar, Euro, Yuan; The widespread downgrade of Western public debt; Peoples' anger; The Euro crisis; The EU as the principal incarnation of Europe; QE3 as the ultimate weapon for saving the US economy; The US’ capacity for military intervention; The West as a community of relevance and values; Scottish independence; Le détroit d'Ormuz et un nouveau contexte de crise au Moyen-Orient ; L'indépendance de l'Ecosse; The Straits of Hormuz and a new context of the Middle East crisis (page 19) (page 19)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
We are seeing a strengthening in the majority considering that common European solutions to the crisis are more effective than national ones (80% in January versus 77% in December)… (page 33)
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