GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
U.K. Trade Deficit Widens to Record as Imports SurgeBusiness Week
German industrial production edges higher in JulyMarket Watch
La Banque du Canada persiste et signeLa Press Affaires
Fed Report Finds Signs That Growth Is SlowingNew York Times
Dollar et euro chutent face au yenLe Monde
Obama Calls for $50 Billion Spending on TransportationNew York Times
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GEAB N°30 - Contents- Published December 16, 2008 -
Global systemic crisis – New tipping-point in March 2009: « When the world becomes aware that this crisis is worse than the 1930s crisis »
LEAP/E2020 anticipates than the unfolding global systemic crisis will experience in March 2009 a new tipping point of similar magnitude to the September 2008 one. According to our team, at that period of the year, the general public will become aware of three major destabilizing processes at work in the global economy… (page 2) Read public announcement Advices to anticipate the next stages of th crisis: Thrirteen questions & answers by LEAP/E2020 As the crisis is getting out of its phase of impact and entering its decanting phase, and as the first consequences are starting to burst out in all kinds of sectors and regions, LEAP/E2020 has decided for this GEAB N°30 to resort to a Q&A method to help their readers assess better the future steps of the crisis… (page 9) Subscribe Follow-up process of LEAP/E2020 anticipation concerning 2008: 80 % of correct anticipations (87% when it comes to strictly economic and financial issues) Before they present their anticipations for the year 2009 (to be released in the January 2009 issue, GEAB N°31) and in the framework of the follow-up process of their anticipations, LEAP/E2020 wishes to review their anticipations concerning 2008 in order to assess the reliability of their analyses… (page 21) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses More and more of the people surveyed are in favor of the creation of a permanent secretariat of the Eurozone (94 percent this month versus 91 percent last month).… (page 26) Subscribe Mardi 16 Décembre 2008
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GEAB N°46 - Contents- Published on June 16, 2010 -
Global systemic crisis / Second half of 2010: The global system’s four single points of failure
The second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure of the international system... (page 2) Subscribe Western public debt: When insolvency becomes intolerable Between now and the end of 2010 the whole world will have learned all the lessons from the « Greek crisis ». In fact, there are only two lessons to learn from… (page 5) Subscribe European austerity: When contextual growth is abandoned in favour of structural stability In speaking of the Eurozone we have written about « a policy » of austerity and not « policies of austerity » as indeed Germany now sets the standards on the subject... (page 8) Subscribe Chinese inflation: When China is going to begin exporting its inflation As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the Chinese new impetus plan is coming to an end and opens up two connected problems... (page 12) Subscribe US contraction: From « hidden mass austerity » to « imposed Federal austerity » The November 2010 mid-term elections will be the first electoral test of a United States in crisis... (page 14) Read public announcement Second series of elements for a methodology of political anticipation: Questions about source material and team management Second series of excerpts from the Manual of Political Anticipation which LEAP will publish in October 2010. (page 19) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations for the second half of 2010 US municipal bond market (« munis »): The major shock Currencies: The hurricane will strengthen with even higher waves! World stock markets face the unthinkable Gold, cash, precious metals, real estate… (page 23) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses Those polled are now unanimously agreed (a rare case for the GlobalEurometre) calling for the establishment of European and Asiatic rating agencies so as to no longer depend on the goodwill of Moody’s, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s.… (page 26) Subscribe Special subscribers’ announcements EU-Russia seminar, Nice, September 23/24 septembre, 2010 Political Anticipation Academy, cycle 2010-2011 (page 30) Subscribe |
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GEAB N°46 - Contents