GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
Dutch state short 29 billion eurosNRC Handelsblad
Retrouvez le charme de l’orMoney Week
EU slams Sweden for overoptimistic budgetSwedish Wire
Trichet : l'euro, la crise et nousLe Point
Great Britain Stars in Its Own Greek TragedyDer Spiegel
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GEAB N°29 - Contents- Published November 17, 2008 -
Phase IV of the Global Systemic crisis: Breakdown of the Global Monetary System by summer 2009
The G20-meeting held in Washington on November 14/15, 2008, clearly demonstrated that this kind of summits is doomed to inefficiency because they concentrate on curing the symptoms (banks’ and hedge funds’ financial difficulties, derivative markets’ explosion, financial and currency markets’ dramatic volatility, ...) rather than the fundamental root of the current crisis, i.e. the collapse of the Bretton Woods system based on the US Dollar as sole pillar of the global monetary system… (page 2) Read public announcement Three visions of the future of global governance will be dividing world’s largest players (United-States, Eurozone, China, Japan, Russia, Brazil) by spring 2009 The world’s main players’ trajectories are now diverging. The G20 Summit which took place in Washington on November 15th, 2008, did not show a convergence of views, whatever may pretend the common declaration, in fact focused on mere details, declarations of intent and virtual measures aimed at preventing future crises to happen when the current one is only beginning... (page 9) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations . Limit yourself to Wysiwyg investments! . Reappraise your beliefs and beware of reflex-actions: Before making a decision, do the LEAP/E2020-test « Is your safe haven value still one? » . Currencies: Getting ready for the mid-2009 global monetary system crash . Special US citizens: Getting ready for the US default (page 14) Subscribe Paradox: Why LEAP/E2020 in GEAB N°27 under-estimated the force of the impact phase of the global systemic crisis The force of the blow generated last September by the world’s entrance into the impact phase of the global crisis, despite the fact that LEAP/E2020 anticipated it as early as February 2008 and elaborated on it in June 2008, was so important that it even managed to catch our team, resulting in the under-estimation of some of its consequences in GEAB N°28... (page 21) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses With 88 percent of the people surveyed convinced that the US dollar will keep falling (and none at all claiming the contrary), the Europeans appear to have resumed with their pre-summer 2008 level of pessimism regarding the future of the US currency… (page 25) Subscribe Lundi 17 Novembre 2008
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GEAB N°43 - Contents- Published on March 16, 2010 -
The crisis marks the end of pre-eminence in the financial sphere and the lasting decline of the City and Wall Street
It is a geopolitical, as much as an economic, financial and monetary approach which led LEAP, in February 2006, to announce the imminent arrival of what we have called « the global systemic crisis ». This same approach now tends to confirm that, in the « world after the crisis », the real economy will, once again, take on a central role, whilst these last few decades have been marked by a virtual economy in the financial sector being at the centre of affairs… (page 2) Subscribe The five steps of the global geopolitical dislocation phase (page 7) Beginning of the phase of global geopolitical dislocation (page 12) Step 1: Monetary disputes and financial shocks (page 12) Step 2: Trade disputes (page 14) Step 3: State crises (page 14) Step 4: Socio-political crises (page 16) Step 5: Strategic crises (page 17) Read public announcement « Danger warning »: A list of eight sovereign risks more dangerous than Greece Based on the most recent information available, the LEAP/E2020 team has refined its country risk classification published last autumn. From that it is clearly apparent that eight large countries are in a worse position than Greece, exactly confirming our anticipation that the Greek problem is only a tree hiding the forest… (page 18) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations Currencies, Stocks and Bonds, Country’s degree of socio-political risk… (page 20) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses A further change in the majority worried about the possibility of political and social upheaval in their country: those believing in such a development constitute, once again, a substantial majority this month (76% versus 57% who thought the opposite in February)… (page 22) Subscribe |
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