'El 76% de los europeos creen que la crisis no finalizará antes de 2012' (GlobalEurometre de junio de 2009)
'76 percent of the Europeans estimate that the crisis will not be over by 2012' (GlobalEurometre June 2009)
'76% des Européens estiment que la crise ne sera pas terminée d'ici 2012' (GlobalEuromètre de juin 2009)
'76% der Europäer gehen davon aus, dass die Krise nicht bis 2012 beendet sein wird' (GlobalEurometer Juni 2009)
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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
La Société Générale tire la sonnette d’alarmeJournal des Finances
Jobs reports 'riddled with inaccuracies'USA Today
Japan says economy back in deflationFinancial Times
One Million Americans Face Loss Of Jobless Benefits In January24/7 Wall Street
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GEAB N°28 - Contents- Published October 16, 2008 -
Global systemic crisis Alert - Summer 2009: The US government defaults on its debt
In this 28th edition of the GEAB, LEAP/E2020 has decided to launch a new global systemic crisis alert. Indeed our researchers anticipate that, before next summer 2009, the US government will default and be prevented to repay its creditors (holders of US Treasury Bonds, of Fanny May and Freddy Mac shares, etc.)… (page 2) Read public announcement Summer 2009: The US government defaults on its debt Five factors directly lead the United States to defaulting on their debt by summer 2009: The recent upward trend of the US Dollar is a direct and temporary consequence of the collapse of stock markets; With its recent « political baptism », the Euro becomes a credible « safe haven » value and therefore provides a « crisis » alternative to the US dollar; The US public debt now swells uncontrollably; The ongoing collapse of US real economy prevents from finding an alternative solution to the country's defaulting; « Strong inflation or hyper-inflation in the US in 2009? », that is the only question. (page 8) Subscribe End of 2008: The world enters the decanting phase of the global systemic crisis - Anticipations over 2008-2013 for six groups of countries experiencing very different evolutions In this October edition of the GEAB (N°28), we therefore chose to establish the anticipatory calendar of the so-called « decanting phase », i.e. a phase along which the outcome of the crisis begins reshaping the global system. Our studies thus enabled us to make anticipations for the 2008-2013 period and for 6 groups of countries differently impacted by the 4 specific sequences of this phase: financial crisis, economic crisis, social crisis and political crisis… (page 16) Subscribe Eight strategic recommendations and operational advices in times of crisis Stocks: going back there or not? Emerging countries : the selection begins; Iran, Venezuela, Oil ; Some tools to help you choose your banks; Risk or no risk; Currencies ; How to save one’s retirement plan? How to run a sovereign fund amidst the storm? (page 20) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses As to what kind of response the EU should bring forward, the people surveyed nearly unanimously (95 percent) agree on a large-scale EU programme of infrastructure building/improving. (page 23) Subscribe Jeudi 16 Octobre 2008
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GEAB N°39 - Contents- Published on November 16, 2009 -
Global systemic crisis – States faced with three brutal options in 2010: inflation, high taxation or default
In the absence of major reappraisal of the international monetary order, the world is now entering the phase of geopolitical dislocation of the global systemic crisis. In 2010, as protectionism and the economic and social depression will gain momentum, a large number of States will be compelled to choose between three brutal options: inflation, high taxation or defaulting on their debt... (page 2) Read public announcement The end of the consumer-as-we-knew-him in the past thirty years For sure the American consumer, incarnation of the American Dream since Henry Ford, has died. But the Western consumer (outside the US) as we knew him in the past thirty years is also wearing out. In addition to that, LEAP/E2020 believes that it is wrong to think that Asians and Latin-Americans will replace these « consuming machines » and enable « planet-profit » to go on as it used to do… (page 6) Subscribe Crisis exit: In collision with reality – Real state of things at the end of 2009: USA, Euroland, China The United States, United Kingdom, or even Japan, striving to escape from defaulting, or France and Germany left with no other choice than raise taxes by the end of 2010, in any event, in 2010, as inflation will affect necessity goods and speculative assets, anti-crisis policies and the reality of the global systemic crisis will collide… (page 11) Subscribe Turkey’s awakening: Its gradual exit from the Western camp Taking advantage of the ongoing systemic crisis, and of the weakening of the US and of the Western superstructure over which the latter’s might is based, Turkey has entered a process of fundamental redefinition of its key geopolitical interests. The new priorities ready to break out by 2012 will account for Ankara’s most profound reappraisal since the country joined NATO in 1952… (page 16) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations . Currencies/Gold: Trends are being confirmed . Real estate: Renting or buying? A choice requiring careful consideration . Shares/Bonds: The tipping point is approaching . « Liquidity surplus »: An iconoclastic explanation (page 20) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses The unanimity of respondents (99 percent) sees no sign of economic improvement in their country… (page 22) Subscribe |
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