'El 76% de los europeos creen que la crisis no finalizará antes de 2012' (GlobalEurometre de junio de 2009)
'76 percent of the Europeans estimate that the crisis will not be over by 2012' (GlobalEurometre June 2009)
'76% des Européens estiment que la crise ne sera pas terminée d'ici 2012' (GlobalEuromètre de juin 2009)
'76% der Europäer gehen davon aus, dass die Krise nicht bis 2012 beendet sein wird' (GlobalEurometer Juni 2009)
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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
La Société Générale tire la sonnette d’alarmeJournal des Finances
Jobs reports 'riddled with inaccuracies'USA Today
Japan says economy back in deflationFinancial Times
One Million Americans Face Loss Of Jobless Benefits In January24/7 Wall Street
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GEAB N°22 - Contents- Published on February 16, 2008 -
Global systemic crisis / September 2008 - Phase of collapse of US real economy
The end of the third quarter of 2008 will be marked by a new tipping point in the unfolding of the global systemic crisis. In the United States, this new tipping point will translate into a collapse of the real economy, final socio-economic stage of the serial bursting of the housing and financial bubbles and of the pursuance of the US dollar fall.... (page 2) Read public announcement The four main factors at work in the collapse of US real economy In the coming months, four main factors combine and provoke the collapse if US real economy. LEAP/E2020 describes them below: US companies: The two effects of the financial crisis US consumers: Consuming times are over, saving is back US municipalities: Shutdown of public services US Dollar: Towards the Dollar-Carry Trade (page 6) Subscribe Five strategic and operational recommendations to be protected from the aggravation of the crisis Stocks or bonds? The recognition of a new « American risk The new safe heaven currencies Real estate: Selling, keeping or buying ? Risking less for losing less (page 15) Subscribe France on its way to a regime crisis by Fall 2008 The domestic political situation in France is deteriorating very rapidly, on both the political front and in terms of economic and financial matters. According to LEAP/E2020, this situation is prone to result in a very severe political crisis, a regime crisis, that will question the very bases of the French political and institutional system’s mechanisms, and that will generate a significant social unrest… (page 17) Subscribe GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses With 100 percent of the respondents convinced that the US dollar’s fall is ineluctable, the European opinion on the evolution of the US currency has become radical: they are now sure that the US currency is on its way for a long-lasting fall. This opinion is not only about the EURUSD exchange rate, but about the value of the US currency compared to all the main international currencies… (page 21) Subscribe Samedi 16 Février 2008
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GEAB N°39 - Contents- Published on November 16, 2009 -
Global systemic crisis – States faced with three brutal options in 2010: inflation, high taxation or default
In the absence of major reappraisal of the international monetary order, the world is now entering the phase of geopolitical dislocation of the global systemic crisis. In 2010, as protectionism and the economic and social depression will gain momentum, a large number of States will be compelled to choose between three brutal options: inflation, high taxation or defaulting on their debt... (page 2) Read public announcement The end of the consumer-as-we-knew-him in the past thirty years For sure the American consumer, incarnation of the American Dream since Henry Ford, has died. But the Western consumer (outside the US) as we knew him in the past thirty years is also wearing out. In addition to that, LEAP/E2020 believes that it is wrong to think that Asians and Latin-Americans will replace these « consuming machines » and enable « planet-profit » to go on as it used to do… (page 6) Subscribe Crisis exit: In collision with reality – Real state of things at the end of 2009: USA, Euroland, China The United States, United Kingdom, or even Japan, striving to escape from defaulting, or France and Germany left with no other choice than raise taxes by the end of 2010, in any event, in 2010, as inflation will affect necessity goods and speculative assets, anti-crisis policies and the reality of the global systemic crisis will collide… (page 11) Subscribe Turkey’s awakening: Its gradual exit from the Western camp Taking advantage of the ongoing systemic crisis, and of the weakening of the US and of the Western superstructure over which the latter’s might is based, Turkey has entered a process of fundamental redefinition of its key geopolitical interests. The new priorities ready to break out by 2012 will account for Ankara’s most profound reappraisal since the country joined NATO in 1952… (page 16) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations . Currencies/Gold: Trends are being confirmed . Real estate: Renting or buying? A choice requiring careful consideration . Shares/Bonds: The tipping point is approaching . « Liquidity surplus »: An iconoclastic explanation (page 20) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses The unanimity of respondents (99 percent) sees no sign of economic improvement in their country… (page 22) Subscribe |
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