'El 76% de los europeos creen que la crisis no finalizará antes de 2012' (GlobalEurometre de junio de 2009)
'76 percent of the Europeans estimate that the crisis will not be over by 2012' (GlobalEurometre June 2009)
'76% des Européens estiment que la crise ne sera pas terminée d'ici 2012' (GlobalEuromètre de juin 2009)
'76% der Europäer gehen davon aus, dass die Krise nicht bis 2012 beendet sein wird' (GlobalEurometer Juni 2009)
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GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
Brussels Intervenes to Slow Greece's PlungeDer Spiegel
Investors Fear Europe’s Woes May Extend Global SlumpNew York Times
Europeans Revitalize Plants to Save JobsNew York Times
The Next ContagionMoney&Markets
No Help in Sight, More Homeowners Walk AwayNew York Times
De plus en plus d'Américains souffrent de la faimYahoo/Reuters
EU summit suffers surprise White House blowFinancial Times
EU call for Greece to cut public sector payFinancial Times
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GEAB N°19 - Contents- Published on November 16, 2007 -International banks get dragged into financial crisis’ « black hole »: Four triggering factors of a major financial bankruptcy
LEAP/E2020 now estimates that at least one large US financial institution (bank, insurance, investment fund) will file for bankruptcy before February 2008, sparking off bankruptcies among a series of other financial institutions and banks in Europe (in the UK especially), in Asia and in various emerging countries... (page 2)
Read public announcement Factor N° 1 - Drastic drop in revenues for banks operating in the US
The CDOs altogether are now dragged into a general confidence crisis, and they represent a large part of bank assets since, in the past few years, large banks from lenders became investors and speculators, like hedge funds… (page 4)
Read public announcement Factor N°2 - Slumping value of assets owned by these banks resulting from new US banking regulation (FASB regulation 157)
On November 15, 2007, a regulatory factor, the FASB 157 standard (designed to enhance transparency of financial statements of financial institutions operating in the US) speeds up the pace of financial organisations’ collapses (American and others)… (page 7)
Subscribe Factor N°3 – Increasing weakness of bond insurers
Bond insurers are financial markets’ « supports ». Completely unknown to the public today, their names could soon become as common as the word « subprime » has… (page 9)
Subscribe Factor N°4 – Economic recession in the US
As a complement to our anticipations of the impact of the US economic recession for banks operating in the US, we find it useful to analyse here how much US official statistics have become totally surrealistic… (page 12)
Subscribe Strategic advice / Operational recommendations for the intention of individual investors, corporate treasurers, financial operators
(page 15)
Subscribe GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
The Europeans seem to make no illusion on the evolution of US policies after the next presidential election, with 65% of the respondents who estimate that G. W. Bush’s successor will not change significantly the American policy… (page 17)
Subscribe Vendredi 16 Novembre 2007
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GEAB N°41 - Contents- Published on January 16, 2010 -
Calendar 2010 – 2020 / The « tragic twilight » of the world-before-the-crisis
The publication of this first GEAB of the year, where we usually publish our anticipations for the next twelve months, exceptionally coincides with the beginning of a new decade and, what is more, a decade which all careful observers feel will mark an upheaval in the world order. Our team has seized this occasion to give our subscribers the benefit of a rational geopolitical « dive » into what the coming decade holds for us… (page 2) Subscribe To prepare 2010 - ’15 UP AND 15 DOWN’, 30 KEY TRENDS FOR 2010 – Fifteen topics which are going to increase in importance during 2010 / Fifteen key subjects which are going to fade away between now and the end of 2010 The US Federal reserve; The Very Great US Depression; The future of the United Kingdom; Global warming; Gold; Yuan; Unemployment and social dislocation; Global geopolitical dislocation; Eurozone; Speculative bubbles; Dollar, Pound Sterling and Yen; Greece as a Eurozone menace; Latin America; BRIC summits; Global recovery; Globalisation; EU governance; China’s economic miracle; The likelihood of a NATO victory in Afghanistan; G20; The middle-East “Peace Process”; State bankruptcies; Israel-USA/Iran conflict; Social safety net systems; Trade blocs; US T-bonds; Tax reductions; Nicolas Sarkozy… (page 8) Subscribe The Decade 2010 – 2020: Towards a knockout victory by gold over the Dollar We have often reminded readers in different GEAB issues that gold constitutes both a medium/long term investment intended to protect one’s capital against the risk of a loss in value of paper currencies and financial assets, and an eventual means of payment in the event of a very serious monetary crisis. In these two cases the choice of placing a portion of one’s assets in gold is a response to anticipating events and risks in the coming years (and not the coming weeks or months). For this GEAB N°41, a special edition at the beginning of a new decade, it seems opportune to LEAP/E2020 to put forward its anticipations on gold’s progress for 2010 – 2020, completing what the team wrote in issue N°34 of the GEAB in April 2009… (page 19) Read public announcement The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses Citizens’ discontent with European government action compared to the expectations of their people climbs slightly, though remaining at very high levels (96%). The « Lisbon Treaty » effect clearly hasn’t happened.… (page 24) Subscribe |
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