GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
UK house prices fall for second monthTelegraph
GM, Ford post double-digit drop in August salesMarket Watch
Beck, Palin tell thousands to 'restore America'Washington Post
U.S. Economy Slowed to 1.6% Pace in 2nd QuarterNew York Times
Four possible scenarios for the future of IsraelNewropeans Magazine
El-Erian: How to read Bernanke’s Jackson Hole SpeechFinancial Times - Alphaville
Durable Goods Collapse24/7 Wall St
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GEAB N°18 - Contents- Published on October 16, 2007 -Seven sequences of the impact phase of the global systemic crisis (2007-2009)
The magnitude of the first banking financial shock felt last August indicated to our team of researchers that the impact will develop under the form of seven sequences or seven major shocks affecting sometimes specifically the world’s main regions... (page 2)
Read public announcement Sequence 1 - US debts infect the financial planet: A century after the « Russian loans », meet the « American debts »
(page 4)
Subscribe Sequence 2 - Stock market collapse, in Asia and the US mainly: between - 60% and -30% in two years according to the regions
(page 7)
Subscribe Sequence 3 - Bursting of global housing bubbles: UK, Spain, France and emerging countries
(page 10)
Subscribe Sequence 4 - Monetary storm: Volatility at the highest / USD at the lowest
(page 12)
Subscribe Sequence 5 - Global economy in stagflation: Recessflation in the US, soft growth in Europe, recession
(page 13)
Subscribe Sequence 6 - « Very Great Depression » in the US, social unrest and the militaries’ growing influence on public affairs
(page 14)
Subscribe Sequence 7 - Major acceleration in world’s strategic rebuilding, attacks on Iran, Israel on the brink, Mid-eastern chaos, energy crisis
(page 16)
Subscribe Value of international academic degrees: How to choose today an international degree that will still be worth something in ten to twenty years?
Our team studied the trends currently affecting the value of the degrees granted by the world’s greatest academic centres, degrees which became over the last few decades the equivalent of “international degrees”, i.e. endowed with an intellectual, scientific and commercial worth acknowledged worldwide… (page 17)
Subscribe GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
In complete opposition with the dominant stance throughout French media: the image of France seen from the rest of Europe has drastically deteriorated since Nicolas Sarkozy was elected: 91% believe it has, and this figure would be even higher without French respondents… (page 26)
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GEAB N°46 - Contents- Published on June 16, 2010 -
Global systemic crisis / Second half of 2010: The global system’s four single points of failure
The second half of 2010 will thus correspond to a new step in the global geopolitical dislocation, characterized by an acceleration in the process of strategic, financial, economic and social convulsions centered on four single points of failure of the international system... (page 2) Subscribe Western public debt: When insolvency becomes intolerable Between now and the end of 2010 the whole world will have learned all the lessons from the « Greek crisis ». In fact, there are only two lessons to learn from… (page 5) Subscribe European austerity: When contextual growth is abandoned in favour of structural stability In speaking of the Eurozone we have written about « a policy » of austerity and not « policies of austerity » as indeed Germany now sets the standards on the subject... (page 8) Subscribe Chinese inflation: When China is going to begin exporting its inflation As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the Chinese new impetus plan is coming to an end and opens up two connected problems... (page 12) Subscribe US contraction: From « hidden mass austerity » to « imposed Federal austerity » The November 2010 mid-term elections will be the first electoral test of a United States in crisis... (page 14) Read public announcement Second series of elements for a methodology of political anticipation: Questions about source material and team management Second series of excerpts from the Manual of Political Anticipation which LEAP will publish in October 2010. (page 19) Subscribe Strategic and operational recommendations for the second half of 2010 US municipal bond market (« munis »): The major shock Currencies: The hurricane will strengthen with even higher waves! World stock markets face the unthinkable Gold, cash, precious metals, real estate… (page 23) Subscribe The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses Those polled are now unanimously agreed (a rare case for the GlobalEurometre) calling for the establishment of European and Asiatic rating agencies so as to no longer depend on the goodwill of Moody’s, Fitch and Standard & Poor’s.… (page 26) Subscribe Special subscribers’ announcements EU-Russia seminar, Nice, September 23/24 septembre, 2010 Political Anticipation Academy, cycle 2010-2011 (page 30) Subscribe |
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GEAB N°46 - Contents