GEAB N°18 - Contents


- Published on October 16, 2007 -



Seven sequences of the impact phase of the global systemic crisis (2007-2009)

The magnitude of the first banking financial shock felt last August indicated to our team of researchers that the impact will develop under the form of seven sequences or seven major shocks affecting sometimes specifically the world’s main regions... (page 2)
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Sequence 1 - US debts infect the financial planet: A century after the « Russian loans », meet the « American debts »

(page 4)
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Sequence 2 - Stock market collapse, in Asia and the US mainly: between - 60% and -30% in two years according to the regions

(page 7)
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Sequence 3 - Bursting of global housing bubbles: UK, Spain, France and emerging countries

(page 10)
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Sequence 4 - Monetary storm: Volatility at the highest / USD at the lowest

(page 12)
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Sequence 5 - Global economy in stagflation: Recessflation in the US, soft growth in Europe, recession

(page 13)
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Sequence 6 - « Very Great Depression » in the US, social unrest and the militaries’ growing influence on public affairs

(page 14)
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Sequence 7 - Major acceleration in world’s strategic rebuilding, attacks on Iran, Israel on the brink, Mid-eastern chaos, energy crisis

(page 16)
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Value of international academic degrees: How to choose today an international degree that will still be worth something in ten to twenty years?

Our team studied the trends currently affecting the value of the degrees granted by the world’s greatest academic centres, degrees which became over the last few decades the equivalent of “international degrees”, i.e. endowed with an intellectual, scientific and commercial worth acknowledged worldwide… (page 17)
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GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses

In complete opposition with the dominant stance throughout French media: the image of France seen from the rest of Europe has drastically deteriorated since Nicolas Sarkozy was elected: 91% believe it has, and this figure would be even higher without French respondents… (page 26)
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Mardi 16 Octobre 2007


In the same category:

GEAB N°41 - Contents - 16/01/2010

GEAB N°40 - Contents - 16/12/2009

GEAB N°39 - Contents - 16/11/2009

GEAB N°38 - Contents - 16/10/2009

GEAB N°37 - Contents - 16/09/2009

GEAB N°35 - Contents - 16/05/2009

GEAB N°34 - Contents - 17/04/2009

GEAB N°33 - Contents - 16/03/2009

GEAB N°32 - Contents - 17/02/2009

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GEAB N°41 - Contents

- Published on January 16, 2010 -

Calendar 2010 – 2020 / The « tragic twilight » of the world-before-the-crisis
The publication of this first GEAB of the year, where we usually publish our anticipations for the next twelve months, exceptionally coincides with the beginning of a new decade and, what is more, a decade which all careful observers feel will mark an upheaval in the world order. Our team has seized this occasion to give our subscribers the benefit of a rational geopolitical « dive » into what the coming decade holds for us… (page 2)
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To prepare 2010 - ’15 UP AND 15 DOWN’, 30 KEY TRENDS FOR 2010 – Fifteen topics which are going to increase in importance during 2010 / Fifteen key subjects which are going to fade away between now and the end of 2010
The US Federal reserve; The Very Great US Depression; The future of the United Kingdom; Global warming; Gold; Yuan; Unemployment and social dislocation; Global geopolitical dislocation; Eurozone; Speculative bubbles; Dollar, Pound Sterling and Yen; Greece as a Eurozone menace; Latin America; BRIC summits; Global recovery; Globalisation; EU governance; China’s economic miracle; The likelihood of a NATO victory in Afghanistan; G20; The middle-East “Peace Process”; State bankruptcies; Israel-USA/Iran conflict; Social safety net systems; Trade blocs; US T-bonds; Tax reductions; Nicolas Sarkozy… (page 8)
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The Decade 2010 – 2020: Towards a knockout victory by gold over the Dollar
We have often reminded readers in different GEAB issues that gold constitutes both a medium/long term investment intended to protect one’s capital against the risk of a loss in value of paper currencies and financial assets, and an eventual means of payment in the event of a very serious monetary crisis. In these two cases the choice of placing a portion of one’s assets in gold is a response to anticipating events and risks in the coming years (and not the coming weeks or months). For this GEAB N°41, a special edition at the beginning of a new decade, it seems opportune to LEAP/E2020 to put forward its anticipations on gold’s progress for 2010 – 2020, completing what the team wrote in issue N°34 of the GEAB in April 2009… (page 19)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses
Citizens’ discontent with European government action compared to the expectations of their people climbs slightly, though remaining at very high levels (96%). The « Lisbon Treaty » effect clearly hasn’t happened.… (page 24)
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