'El 76% de los europeos creen que la crisis no finalizará antes de 2012' (GlobalEurometre de junio de 2009)
'76 percent of the Europeans estimate that the crisis will not be over by 2012' (GlobalEurometre June 2009)
'76% des Européens estiment que la crise ne sera pas terminée d'ici 2012' (GlobalEuromètre de juin 2009)
'76% der Europäer gehen davon aus, dass die Krise nicht bis 2012 beendet sein wird' (GlobalEurometer Juni 2009)
|
||
GLOBAL SYSTEMIC CRISIS Press clippings
The Dream of ZeroNew York Times
Brussels Intervenes to Slow Greece's PlungeDer Spiegel
Investors Fear Europe’s Woes May Extend Global SlumpNew York Times
Europeans Revitalize Plants to Save JobsNew York Times
The Next ContagionMoney&Markets
No Help in Sight, More Homeowners Walk AwayNew York Times
De plus en plus d'Américains souffrent de la faimYahoo/Reuters
Subscribe this free Press Review
|
GEAB N°11 - Contents- Published on January 16, 2007 -Impact phase of the Global Systemic Crisis: Six aspects of America’s « Very Great Depression »
The year 2007 will witness the sliding of the US into the « Very Great Depression », i.e., the rare historical conjunction of a severe economic depression, a strategic collapse and a major political and social internal crisis, at the centre of the phase of impact of the global systemic crisis. Housing crisis, financial crisis, economic crisis, trade war, military escalation and political crisis are the six aspects described in this edition of GEAB...
Read public announcement The slide into recession provokes a « Fog of Statistics » used to raise doubts about whether or not the Titanic is sinking
The passage from 2006 to 2007 perfectly has illustrated the global systemic crisis’ stepping into a phase of impact, as anticipated by LEAP/E2020. Just like in any change, the passage by zero is characterized by a « fog of statistics » where indicators point in opposite directions and measurements provide contradictory results, with margins of error sometimes wider than the measurement itself...
Read public announcement Negative personal saving rates and declining home prices on a national scale: Two major US economic indicators hit lowest level since the 1930 crisis
When at the beginning of 2006 the US Federal Reserve and the whole of the financial and economic players and media were negating the existence of a real estate bubble (and formally rejected any risk of crisis in this sector), the collapse of prices had in fact already begun leading the US housing market to its most severe crisis since the 1930s (analysts now refer to the « 2007 housing depression ») characterized by a yearly decline in home prices throughout the entire US territory...
Read public announcement « Roller coaster » US interest rates in 2007
As early as Spring 2007, the Fed will be confronted to the political necessity of reviving by any means a US economy about to slide from recession to depression, knowing that the dollar weakness prevents from taking any radical measure such as dropping interest rates (assured to result in a collapse of the US currency, now solely supported by interest rates)...
Subscribe The US financial sector has already entered bankruptcy: Today Ownit, Mortgage USA Lenders,… tomorrow Ameriquest, Wells Fargo, HSBC Finances?
While these days big international players boast about the extraordinary health of international finances and about the record-profit margins made by hedge funds and private banks, the first mortgage lenders file for bankruptcy...
Subscribe Middle East: To conceal its failure in Iraq, the Bush administration is preparing a Shiite-Sunni intra-Muslim war, while Israel gets ready to launch tactical nuclear weapons on Iran’s nuclear programme
The approaching 2008 presidential election will radicalize the two camps starting in spring 2007. Pro-Israeli Democrats on the one hand and a pro-Zionist Bush administration on the other hand will result in placing the Israelo-Iranian crisis on Washington’s agenda sometimes in the next three months...
Read public announcement China and Russia’s move to drive the US out of central Asia and to accelerate the dollar fall
It is probably in the prospect of the large diplomatic crisis that will go along the internationalization of the Iraqi conflict (at stake in fact under cover of « intra-religiosity ») in spring 2007, that Russia and China recently inflicted a major diplomatic snub to the US by vetoing a resolution proposed by the US demanding from Myanmar to set up a process of democratic transition...
Subscribe Emerging markets, mortgage risk: In 2007, risk is back in financial markets… and it will be a heavy bill after many careless years
As markets keep on pretending they can ignore risk because they always discover new protective « martingales » (LEAP/E2020 previously described that in the field of subprime loans this claim is about to be shattered), the 2007 « Very Great Depression » revives the notion of « country financial risks ». Indeed the weakening of US diplomatic power will result in a renewal of national practices diverging from international markets’ « expectations »...
Subscribe Burst of Europe’s real estate bubble: Spain comes first soon followed by France and UK (an average of - 10% in 2007)LEAP/E2020’s counsels to cross over the « 2007 Very Great Depression »: Europe’s real estate, US industry, commodities and currenciesGlobalEurometre - Results and analysisMardi 16 Janvier 2007
In the same category:
|
GEAB N°41 - Contents- Published on January 16, 2010 -
Calendar 2010 – 2020 / The « tragic twilight » of the world-before-the-crisis
The publication of this first GEAB of the year, where we usually publish our anticipations for the next twelve months, exceptionally coincides with the beginning of a new decade and, what is more, a decade which all careful observers feel will mark an upheaval in the world order. Our team has seized this occasion to give our subscribers the benefit of a rational geopolitical « dive » into what the coming decade holds for us… (page 2) Subscribe To prepare 2010 - ’15 UP AND 15 DOWN’, 30 KEY TRENDS FOR 2010 – Fifteen topics which are going to increase in importance during 2010 / Fifteen key subjects which are going to fade away between now and the end of 2010 The US Federal reserve; The Very Great US Depression; The future of the United Kingdom; Global warming; Gold; Yuan; Unemployment and social dislocation; Global geopolitical dislocation; Eurozone; Speculative bubbles; Dollar, Pound Sterling and Yen; Greece as a Eurozone menace; Latin America; BRIC summits; Global recovery; Globalisation; EU governance; China’s economic miracle; The likelihood of a NATO victory in Afghanistan; G20; The middle-East “Peace Process”; State bankruptcies; Israel-USA/Iran conflict; Social safety net systems; Trade blocs; US T-bonds; Tax reductions; Nicolas Sarkozy… (page 8) Subscribe The Decade 2010 – 2020: Towards a knockout victory by gold over the Dollar We have often reminded readers in different GEAB issues that gold constitutes both a medium/long term investment intended to protect one’s capital against the risk of a loss in value of paper currencies and financial assets, and an eventual means of payment in the event of a very serious monetary crisis. In these two cases the choice of placing a portion of one’s assets in gold is a response to anticipating events and risks in the coming years (and not the coming weeks or months). For this GEAB N°41, a special edition at the beginning of a new decade, it seems opportune to LEAP/E2020 to put forward its anticipations on gold’s progress for 2010 – 2020, completing what the team wrote in issue N°34 of the GEAB in April 2009… (page 19) Read public announcement The GlobalEurometre - Results & Analyses Citizens’ discontent with European government action compared to the expectations of their people climbs slightly, though remaining at very high levels (96%). The « Lisbon Treaty » effect clearly hasn’t happened.… (page 24) Subscribe |
Subscribe to our free Press Review
