Excerpts and public announcements

Global systemic crisis: Second half of 2011 – Get ready for the meltdown of the US Treasury Bond market

- Public announcement GEAB N°53 (March 17, 2011) - Beyond its tragic human consequences (1), the terrible disaster that has just hit Japan weakens the shaky US Treasury Bond market a little more. In the GEAB No. 52, our team had already explained how the sequence of Arab revolutions, this fall of the “petro-dollar” wall (2),...

France 2012: the National Front overtakes the UMP

- Excerpt GEAB N°49 (November 16, 2010) - This analysis was released on November 16th, i.e. 6 months before the current poll results In the case of France, 2010 brought increasing public awareness of a triple failure in both the UMP’s strategy and its leader, Nicolas Sarkozy, resulting in the lowest approval ratings for...

Global systemic crisis / World geopolitical breakup – End of 2011: Fall of the “Petro-dollar wall” and a major monetary-oil shock for the United States

- Public announcement GEAB N°52 (February 16, 2011) - With this issue our team is celebrating two important anniversaries in anticipation terms. Exactly five years ago, in February 2006, the GEAB N°2 suddenly encountered worldwide success by announcing the next "Triggering of a major global crisis" characterized especially by...

GEAB wrote it in June 2008: "Arab world: Pro-Western regimes go adrift / 60 percent risk of socio-political explosion on Egypt-Morocco axis"

- Excerpt GEAB N°26 (June 16, 2008) - According to LEAP/E2020, the global systemic crisis contributes to weaken Arab states’ pro-Western regimes confronted to hunger riots, religious fundamentalism fuelled by the growing influence of Iran, Syria, Hezbollah and Hamas, and the incapacity of Washington and its European allies to...

The true US GDP is 30% lower than official figures

- Excerpt GEAB N°47 (September 16, 2010) - The United States’ entry into the austerity phase actually started at least two years ago. In fact, the crisis and its consequences in terms of a collapse in earnings and capital, as well as the drastic restriction of consumer credit, are only one step in the process of the...

Global systemic crisis: Second half of 2011 - European context and US catalyst - Explosion of the Western public debt bubble

- Public announcement GEAB N°50 (December 16, 2010) The second half of 2011 will mark the point in time when all the world’s financial operators will finally understand that the West will not repay in full a significant portion of the loans advanced over the last two decades. For LEAP/E2020 it is, in effect, around October...

« US Municipal Bonds »: The inevitable major shock of the second half of 2010

- Excerpt Recommendations GEAB N°46 (June 16, 2010) - The US municipal bond market (« Munis ») which supplies the finance for the local infrastructure for transport, health, education, sewage,…. is on the edge of imploding as a consequence of the growing inability of US local authorities to handle their indebtedness. It...

Warning Global systemic crisis – First quarter 2011: Breach of the critical threshold of global geopolitical dislocation

- Public announcement GEAB N°49 (November 16, 2010) - As the LEAP/E2020 team anticipated in its open letter to the G20 leaders published in the international edition of the Financial Times of 24 March 2009, on the eve of the London Summit, the question of a fundamental reform of the international monetary system is central to...

Currencies: the storm will get worse – don’t confuse the waves with the tide!

- Excerpt Recommendations GEAB N°45 (May 16, 2010) - In May 2010, at the peak of the "Euro crisis", LEAP/E2020 anticipated a 1.45 EUR/USD exchange rate by the end of 2010, while all experts expected a EUR/USD parity was coming soon ! As we announced in the previous GEAB issue, the storm tore through the currency markets...

Global systemic crisis - LEAP/E2020’s analysis of 39 countries’ risks 2010-2014: A collective but contrasting dive into the phase of world geopolitical dislocation

- Public announcement GEAB N°48 (October 16, 2010) - In this issue, our team introduces the annual "country risk" update in the light of the crisis. Based on an analysis incorporating eleven criteria this year, this decision-making tool has already demonstrated its relevance in faithfully anticipating developments over these...
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GEAB N°75 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2013 -

Systemic crisis 2013: with record stock exchange highs, the planets imminent plunge into recession
The world economy is slowing down badly and a widespread recession is looming. The various players are fully aware of it and, in the face of the challenges of an imminent collapse, countries or regions are putting various strategies in place to try and limit the consequences… (page 2)
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BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures
In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how the major western central banks act, the limits, the advantages, and the disadvantages of their interventions. We explain their policies in broad terms… (page 9)
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GEAB Dollar and Euro index
The traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. Henceforth, our team will also publish the GEAB $ index together with the GEAB € index… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Decoupling of paper and physical gold
. European sovereign bonds: the ECB is still the boss
. Stock exchanges: when QE rains money ! … (page 17)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and analysis
The general tone of this month's poll is sombre, to say the least. Confidence in the capacity to manage the Euro crisis has literally collapsed this month, the fear of losing money has significantly risen … (page 18)
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