Excerpts and public announcements

First semester 2012 - The decimation of bank profits

- Excerpt GEAB N°58 (October 16, 2011) - Falling revenues, increasing losses, profits adrift: this is the Western banking background in late 2011! And yet all this is happening in a very favorable context for banking institutions’ balance sheets who continue to assign their own prices to their assets (using the accounting...

End 2012 – Neo-protectionism establishes itself as the new paradigm of world trade

- Excerpt GEAB N°57 (Sept. 16, 2011) - Analysis published in GEAB 4 months ago: Because of the simultaneity of the global economy (1) relapsing into recession and key political events affecting the world’s major economies (2), we anticipate a sharp rise in protectionism from the end of 2012. In its initial phase, it...

Global Systemic Crisis - 2012: The year of the world’s great geopolitical swing

- Public announcement GEAB N°61 (Jan. 16, 2012) - This GEAB issue makes it six years that the LEAP/E2020 team have shared their anticipations with their subscribers and readers of their public briefing on the development of the global systemic crisis each month. And, for the first time, in the January issue which presents a...

Global systemic crisis – USA 2012/2016: An insolvent and ungovernable country

- Public announcement GEAB N°60 (December 16, 2011) - As announced in previous GEABs, in this issue our team presents its anticipations on the changes in the United States for the period 2012-2016. This country, the epicentre of the global systemic crisis and pillar of the international system since 1945, will go through a...

Global systemic crisis: Second half of 2011 - European context and US catalyst - Explosion of the Western public debt bubble

- Excerpt GEAB N°50 (December 16, 2010) - Analysis published in GEAB 1 year ago: The second half of 2011 will mark the point in time when all the world’s financial operators will finally understand that the West will not repay in full a significant portion of the loans advanced over the last two decades. For LEAP/E2020...

Global systemic crisis: 30,000 billion US dollars in ghost assets will disappear by early 2013 / The crisis enters a phase of widespread discounting of Western public debt

- Public announcement GEAB N°59 (November 16, 2011) - As we come to the end of the second half of 2011, it is evident that 15,000 billion in ghost assets have gone up in smoke since last July, just as was anticipated by LEAP/E2020 (GEAB N°56 ). And, according to our team, this process figures to continue at the same rate...

After Fukushima: The six essential features of the revolution in the nuclear power decision-making process for the 2010-2020 decade

- Excerpt GEAB N°55 (May 16, 2011) - For the sake of completeness, the title of this exercise in political anticipation applied to nuclear power should also include two other factors besides Fukushima, namely the Internet and the global energy crisis which is one of the elements of the global systemic crisis we are...

Global systemic crisis – First half of 2012: Decimation of the Western banks

- Public announcement GEAB N°58 (October 16, 2011) - As anticipated by LEAP/E2020, the second half of 2011 is seeing the world continuing its unstoppable descent into global geopolitical dislocation characterized by the convergence of monetary, financial, economic, social, political and strategic crises. After 2010 and early...

Global systemic crisis - Fourth quarter 2011: Implosive fusion of global financial assets

- Public announcement GEAB N°57 (September 16, 2011) - As anticipated by LEAP/E2020 since November 2010, and often repeated up to June 2011, the second half of 2011 has started with a sudden and major relapse of the crisis. Nearly USD 10 trillion of the USD 15 trillion in ghost assets announced in GEAB N°56 have already gone up...

When Athens aims to hide London and Washington

- Excerpt GEAB N°55 (May 16, 2011) - Greece is back in the Anglo-Saxon media’s headlines. So, like last year at the same time, we must not seek the "speck of dust" but "the plank in the eye” of Washington or London. Last year, the "Greek crisis" had been used to divert attention from the British major risk embodied in an...
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GEAB N°75 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2013 -

Systemic crisis 2013: with record stock exchange highs, the planets imminent plunge into recession
The world economy is slowing down badly and a widespread recession is looming. The various players are fully aware of it and, in the face of the challenges of an imminent collapse, countries or regions are putting various strategies in place to try and limit the consequences… (page 2)
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BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures
In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how the major western central banks act, the limits, the advantages, and the disadvantages of their interventions. We explain their policies in broad terms… (page 9)
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GEAB Dollar and Euro index
The traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. Henceforth, our team will also publish the GEAB $ index together with the GEAB € index… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Decoupling of paper and physical gold
. European sovereign bonds: the ECB is still the boss
. Stock exchanges: when QE rains money ! … (page 17)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and analysis
The general tone of this month's poll is sombre, to say the least. Confidence in the capacity to manage the Euro crisis has literally collapsed this month, the fear of losing money has significantly risen … (page 18)
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