Excerpts and public announcements

EU: A constitutional deadlock and the crisis of the analytical system of/on the EU

- Abstract GEAB N°1 (January 16, 2006) - In this beginning of 2006, the project of constitutional treaty is still at the centre of most EU discussions. Does this mean that the process of ratification is being rejuvenated or is it the sign of a profound deadlock in which the EU institutions and political leaders are stuck?...

US recession / Dollar collapse: Even hedge funds administered by Goldman Sachs are beginning to lose money

- Decoded news (December 11, 2006) - As anticipated by LEAP/E2020 (1), hedge funds, such as Global Alpha Fund for instance, the most important hedge fund administered by Goldman Sachs, are beginning to feel the consequences of their anticipation mistakes in 2006. The fall of the dollar and that of the US real-estate in...

'Goldman's top alumni wield White House clout' titles today's edition of the Financial Times

- Decoded news, Dec. 4, 2006 - Six weeks after LEAP/E2020 informed its GEAB subscribers (Oct. 16 edition) about the determining influence of Wall Street' major investment bank on the Bush administration, and about its key role in the pre-mid-term election "euphoria" operation, today's paper edition of the Financial Times...

US GDP growth revised up to 2.2% in 3rd quarter: the devil’s in the details

- Decoded news - Nov. 29, 2006 - The State Departement of Commerce temporarily reports a 2.2% revision of US GDP growth in the third quarter (instead of 1.6% anticipated one month ago). Welcomed as good news throughout world financial places, this figure in fact hides in its details a confirmation of the present and...

Eurodollar exchange rate at 1.50 - Investor's Counsel

- Abstract GEAB N°5, May 16, 2006 - The consequences will be very different whether you live in the Euro zone, in the Dollar zone, or outside both. In any case, 1 EUR = 1,50USD will drastically modify the certainties which led your behaviour or political position. That will indeed represent a 30%...

Foreign investors flee US long-term securities

Decoded news - Nov. 21, 2006 In September 2006, the US did not manage to attract enough long-term foreign investors to balance their capital flow deficit. Indeed, with a net flow down to 65.1 billion USD in September (against 114.4 the previous month), the US could not balance their trade deficit which settled to 70 billion USD...

December 2006 - Dollar / Real Estate / Stock Markets: US consumer's insolvency, a catalyst of the impact phase of the global systemic crisis

- Public Announcement GEAB N°9 (November 16, 2006) - The American mid-term elections have now passed and, only a week later, as announced by LEAP/E2020 in GEAB N°8 of last October 15, the “euphorisation” of US voters/consumers and world financial players seems to have already passed wit them. The...

NATO 2006 – The year of global dilution and of EU/US decoupling

Abstract GEAB N°4 - April 16, 2006 Riga, November 28-29, 2006 – The upcoming NATO summit , which chose to take place on former soviet soil in order to symbolize the success of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, is likely to be remembered as the Summit where two opposite trends thrust the...

US unemployment figures: a voters’ ’euphoria-process’ up to the last minute

News decodage - Nov. 6, 2006 After the publication of a series of statistics pointing at a US recession (collapsing growth, industrial production and real-estate), one therefore particularly unfavourable to the Republican Party, a remarkable last minute « euphoria-process » was launched last Friday. Job creation figures...

USA - November 2006 mid-term elections: towards a politico-institutional blocking in Washington, with important political, economic and commercial consequences

Abstract GEAB N°7 - Sept. 16, 2006 According to LEAP/E2020, the November 2006 elections will thus lead to a real political and institutional blocking of the United States (which should be even stronger if the Senate also falls in the hands of the democrats, because it will then be able to paralyse the international actions of...
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GEAB N°75 - Contents

- Published on May 16, 2013 -

Systemic crisis 2013: with record stock exchange highs, the planets imminent plunge into recession
The world economy is slowing down badly and a widespread recession is looming. The various players are fully aware of it and, in the face of the challenges of an imminent collapse, countries or regions are putting various strategies in place to try and limit the consequences… (page 2)
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BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures
In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how the major western central banks act, the limits, the advantages, and the disadvantages of their interventions. We explain their policies in broad terms… (page 9)
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GEAB Dollar and Euro index
The traditional Dollar Index (used by the financial markets) is an unreliable indicator for forecasting US Dollar developments. Henceforth, our team will also publish the GEAB $ index together with the GEAB € index… (page 14)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
. Decoupling of paper and physical gold
. European sovereign bonds: the ECB is still the boss
. Stock exchanges: when QE rains money ! … (page 17)
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The GlobalEurometre - Results and analysis
The general tone of this month's poll is sombre, to say the least. Confidence in the capacity to manage the Euro crisis has literally collapsed this month, the fear of losing money has significantly risen … (page 18)
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