GEAB, N°1 online bulletin on political anticipation: One step ahead the news!

We found out yesterday (August 4th) that Chris Christie, the New Jersey Governor, during his latest town hall event in Belmar acknowledged that his state was unable to cover pension obligations. Consequently, a series of renegotiations were to come: "N.J. pension promises can`t be kept" said Christie, a courageous political...

GEAB N°86 is available! Global systemic crisis – The Major Global Geopolitical Reconfiguration

- Public announcement GEAB N°86 (June 15, 2014) - Last month our team anticipated that the Ukrainian crisis would provide the conditions for a jolt [1]. Due to lack of space and because this jolt is much more evident in the rest of the world, we tried to identify the reasons for this jolt to only from a European perspective....

Excerpt GEAB (June 2006) - EU borders - The end of the myth of eternal enlargement: Turkey-Ukraine, two countries which will not join the EU / The Balkans, last enlargement of the next 20 years / Russia, the key to solve the EU-Turkey problem

- Excerpt GEAB N°6 (15 June 2006) - The increasing difficulties of the process of Turkey entering the European Union contrasts with the progressive entry “piece by piece” of the former Yugoslavia (26) (Slovenia is already a member and Croatia is starting its integration process while proposals to integrate the other Balkan...

Excerpt GEAB 76 (June 2013) - Global systemic crisis II: second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale

- Excerpt GEAB N°76 (15 June 2013) - A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion. [...]

Excerpt GEAB 75 (May 2013) - BoJ, Fed, ECB : with different methods, contrasting futures

- Excerpt GEAB nr75 of May 15, 2013 - As we see on a daily basis, central banks play a major role in the crisis’ management. In order to see the unfolding of the global systemic crisis more clearly, we must understand how they act, the limits, the advantages, and disadvantages of their interventions. We have therefore decided...

15/01/2013 - A recommendation to Euro-BRICS leaders: Organize a mini Euro-BRICS Summit, ahead of the St Petersburg G20, in order to develop common strategic positions to exit the crisis and bring global governance into the XXI° century

- Excerpt GEAB N°71 (January 16, 2013) - As a result of the 3rd Euro-BRICS seminar organized by LEAP in partnership with MGIMO in Cannes on September 27-28, 2012, the experts from Euroland and BRICS countries who gathered for the occasion, wished to give their leaders a series of arguments in favour of holding a mini-Euro-BRICS...

Advice to the G20 leaders: The G20’s three strategic priorities in 2012/2014 to avoid a « tragic decade »

- Excerpt GEAB N°57 (September 16, 2011) - On March 29, 2009, Franck Biancheri signed an open letter in the Financial Times international edition from LEAP/E2020 to the G20 leaders who were going to meet in London the next week. In its introduction, this text predicted that if the three recommendations it contained were not...

For 220 euros, have access to 7 years of GEAB archives!

Yesterday's anticipation is today's news! For 220 euros TTC, get codes (for 1 month) and download all the archive-issues of the GlobalEurope Anticipation Bulletin (1). Order now! (1) Important! This offer includes ALL past issues BUT the last 7 ones

Reminder - Open letter / London G20 Summit: Last chance before global geopolitical dislocation

Open letter to the G20 leaders, published in the Financial Times' worldwide edition on 03/24/2009 Ladies and Gentlemen, Your next summit takes place in a few days in London; but are you aware that you have less than a semester to prevent the world from plunging into a crisis that will take at least a decade to resolve,...

The first half of the decade marked primarily by world geopolitical dislocation

- Except book "World crisis - The Path to the World Afterwards" by Franck BIancheri, Director of Studies at LEAP and GEAB coordinator - The crisis, because it wasn’t anticipated by world leaders, is advancing at its own speed. In 2009 the financial efforts, without historical precedent, of the United States, Europe, China,...

GEAB N°86 - Contents

- Published on June 17, 2014 -

Global systemic crisis – The Major Global Geopolitical Reconfiguration
After nearly 6 years of blocking the normal development of systemic transition, a blocking caused by a flood of dollars leading to a renewed artificial global addiction to the US dollar, history is now taking its course… (page 2)
Read public announcement

The US 2014-2015: the dominoes of pensions, Munis and the Dollar
Numerous cracks come from the outside: for example the challenge to US dominance by China and Russia. But, amongst the most serious cracks in the Dollar wall, is the market for US municipal bonds and the US pension system… (page 19)

Central Banks – What the coexistence of QE and deflation reveals about the Western financial system
Common sense (or rather economic sense) would expect that excessive use of the printing press, especially in the US and Japan, causes inflation – if not hyperinflation given the amount of money injected into the system. And yet, it’s nothing of the kind. Are deflation and the printing press conniving in the US? Or in Europe? How can that be possible? (page 25)

Investments, trends and recommendations
Blackmail in the BNP affair
« Sufficiently big to fine »
Alternative financial investments… (page 30)

GlobalEurometre - Results and analyses
Even if some financial issues, such as the risk of bank failures or the fear of losing one’s money, seem to be less worrying, for the first time in several months we are seeing signs of a weakening in confidence in the European currency… (page 35)