Contents of previous issues

GEAB N°36 (Summer 2009 special edition) - Contents

- Published June 17, 2009 - Global systemic crisis in summer 2009: The cumulative impact of three « rogue waves » Because the origins of the crisis remain unaddressed, LEAP/E2020 estimates that the summer 2009 will be marked by the converging of three very destructive « rogue waves », illustrating the aggravation of the crisis...

GEAB N°35 - Contents

- Published May 16, 2009 - Global systemic crisis: June 2009 - When the world steps out of a sixty-year old referential framework The financial surrealism which has been chairing stock market trends, financial indicators and political commentaries in the past two months, is in fact the swan song of the referential framework...

GEAB N°34 - Contents

- Published April 16, 2009 - Summer 2009: The international monetary system’s breakdown is underway The perspective of a US default this summer is becoming clearer as public debt is now completely out of control with skyrocketing expenses (+41%) and collapsing tax revenues (-28%), as LEAP/E2020 anticipated more than a year ago....

GEAB N°33 - Contents

- Published March 16, 2009 - Growing Transatlantic tensions on the eve of the G20 summit: An illustration of Wall Street’s and the City’s attempt to destabilize the EU banking system and the Euro In the past month, Washington has deliberately been trying to break the EU and weaken the Eurozone by relentlessly relaying false...

GEAB N°32 - Contents

- Published February 16, 2009 - 4th quarter 2009 – Beginning of Phase 5 of the global systemic crisis: phase of global geopolitical dislocation Back in February 2006, LEAP/E2020 estimated that the global systemic crisis would unfold in 4 main structural phases: trigger, acceleration, impact and decanting phases. This process...

GEAB N°31 - Contents

- Published January 16, 2009 - Phase IV of the systemic crisis: The sequence of global insolvency begins In 2007, LEAP/E2020 announced that US banks and consumers were both insolvent. More than a year ago, our team estimated that USD 10,000-billion worth in « ghost-assets » would vanish in the crisis. In the same line,...

GEAB N°30 - Contents

- Published December 16, 2008 - Global systemic crisis – New tipping-point in March 2009: « When the world becomes aware that this crisis is worse than the 1930s crisis » LEAP/E2020 anticipates than the unfolding global systemic crisis will experience in March 2009 a new tipping point of similar magnitude to the September 2008...

GEAB N°29 - Contents

- Published November 17, 2008 - Phase IV of the Global Systemic crisis: Breakdown of the Global Monetary System by summer 2009 The G20-meeting held in Washington on November 14/15, 2008, clearly demonstrated that this kind of summits is doomed to inefficiency because they concentrate on curing the symptoms (banks’ and hedge...

GEAB N°28 - Contents

- Published October 16, 2008 - Global systemic crisis Alert - Summer 2009: The US government defaults on its debt In this 28th edition of the GEAB, LEAP/E2020 has decided to launch a new global systemic crisis alert. Indeed our researchers anticipate that, before next summer 2009, the US government will default and be prevented...

GEAB N°27 - Contents

- Published September 16, 2008 - Why LEAP/E2020 maintain their anticipation of a 1.75 EURUSD exchange rate at the end of 2008 Contrary to what the dollar’s staggering upturn against nearly all currencies since the beginning of July 2008 suggests, LEAP/E2020 sees no reason to modify its anticipation about the EURUSD exchange...
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GEAB N°76 - Contents

- Published on June 16, 2013 -

Alert for the second half of 2013 – Global systemic crisis II : second devastating explosion/social outburst on a worldwide scale
A 2008 Lehman type shock, the fire’s symbolic start and especially widespread awareness of the situation, has not yet occurred. This really isn’t good news because, over time, the situation is getting worse and it’s not a shock that one must prepare for but a devastating explosion… (page 2)
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EU 2014-2015: after the European Parliamentary elections, the stand-off between the Parliament and the European Council will encourage Euroland’s rise
The EU’s institutional architecture has always been, since the beginning of the European integration process, based on the shifting sands of political reality. If we only look at it at a given moment, one could be led to believe that the structure is sound, firmly rooted in European treaties. But the reality is quite different… (page 11)
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The world in 2030 – Diversification / infrastructures / education: anticipating an economy’s post-crisis capacity to rebound
If it’s necessary to have a view of short term events to navigate through this crisis of secular magnitude, one must never however lose sight of the big picture of the changes in the world, as we regularly remind GEAB readers. It’s the reason why it’s important not to forget the core trends which shape a society over the long term, i.e. over several decades (20 to 30 years)… (page 15)
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Global Governance - The Euro-BRICS rapprochement at the service of the system’s update or as a matrix for a new model?
Are the institutions of global governance, theoretically in charge of managing the crisis affecting the world for the last five years, structurally capable of undertaking the necessary reforms to create the conditions for an improvement in their effectiveness?… (page 27)
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Strategic and operational recommendations
Cash / oil / stock exchanges / bonds… (page 30)
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The GlobalEurometre, Results and analyses
This month’s questionnaire reflects a high but constant concern about the economic signals, with the notable exception over the risk of bank failures which has become clearer once again… (page 33)
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